Chelsea Title Chances Season2 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 1.5 to 8.2%
9 points 3-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +4.1 | +4.1 | -6.6 | +0.8 | ||||
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.9 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.6+0.3+0.5 | -0.6+0.3+0.5 | -0.4-0.1+0.5 | |||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | -0.4+0.4+0.2 | -0.4+0.4+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.5-0.2+0.6 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | +4.2-1.4-3.5 | +4.2-1.4-3.5 | -4.6-0.1+4.6 | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | ||||
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +1.3+0.4-1.5 | +1.3+0.4-1.5 | +0.6-0.1-0.6 | |||||
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -0.4+0.4+0.2 | -0.4+0.4+0.2 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| PSG vs Liverpool | +0.2+0.4-0.4 | +0.2+0.4-0.4 | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | +0.5-0.3-0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 48 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 2,462 | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | 99.5 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 419 | |||||||||||
| 45 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.5 | 99.5 | 100 | 0 | No | 806 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.3 | 99.3 | 99 | 1 | No | 1,186 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 98.7 | 98.7 | 99 | 1 | No | 5,062 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 97.5 | 97.5 | 97 | 3 | No | 7,378 | * | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 96.2 | 96.2 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 13,963 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 93.0 | 93.0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 30,537 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 88.7 | 88.7 | 89 | 11 | 0 | No | 41,627 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 83.0 | 83.0 | 83 | 17 | 0 | No | 72,561 | * | |||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 73.8 | 73.8 | 74 | 25 | 1 | 0 | No | 118,982 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 64.0 | 64.0 | 64 | 33 | 3 | 0 | No | 152,438 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 52 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 228,637 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 35.6 | 35.6 | 36 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 208,219 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 41.4 | 41.4 | 41 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 105,164 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25 | 51 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 371,899 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 14 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 489,510 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5 | 32 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 333,418 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7 | 38 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 247,258 | * | |||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 484,700 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 147,329 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 581,401 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 147,132 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 388,289 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 376,057 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 642,055 | * | ||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 111,463 | |||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 582,183 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 27 | 5 | 0 | No | 185,417 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 363,823 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | 350,958 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 630,336 | * | |||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 4.3 | 417,445 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | 148,313 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 10.7 | 242,253 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 15.3 | 221,162 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 28.3 | 360,058 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 48.8 | 282,861 | * | ||||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 49 | 17 | 65.9 | 103,767 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 25 | 50 | 21 | 71.6 | 97,612 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 32 | 82.8 | 134,804 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 48 | 92.0 | 90,746 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 34 | 63 | 96.8 | 54,826 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 24 | 75 | 98.8 | 29,920 | * | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 14 | 85 | 99.6 | 16,514 | * | |||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | 7,860 | * | |||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 4 | 96 | Yes | 3,035 | * | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 1,215 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 417 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,463 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 8.2 | % | 8.2 | % | 8 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8.0 | % | 9,637,940 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
