Chelsea Title Chances Season2
Did not play, title odds down 3.4 to 3.9%
9 points 3-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +2.9 | +2.9 | -4.6 | +0.8 | ||||
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2*-0.0+0.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | +1.6-1.3-2.2 | +1.6-1.3-2.2 | -0.9+0.1+1.7 | +0.4-0.2-0.6 | ||||
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +1.8+0.7-0.9 | +1.8+0.7-0.9 | +0.3+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| PSG vs Liverpool | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | ||||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 48 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | 99.5 | % | 99 | 1 | No | 7,799 | |||||||||||
| 46 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 97.5 | 97.5 | 97 | 3 | No | 3,700 | |||||||||||||
| 45 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 92.6 | 92.6 | 93 | 7 | No | 6,941 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 91.5 | 91.5 | 92 | 8 | No | 10,259 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 84.1 | 84.1 | 84 | 16 | 0 | No | 38,884 | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 76.2 | 76.2 | 76 | 24 | 0 | No | 54,405 | * | |||||||||||
| 41 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 69.9 | 69.9 | 70 | 30 | 0 | No | 99,091 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 57.7 | 57.7 | 58 | 41 | 1 | 0 | No | 204,617 | * | ||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 47.9 | 47.9 | 48 | 50 | 2 | 0 | No | 266,155 | * | ||||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 37.5 | 37.5 | 37 | 57 | 5 | 0 | No | 440,032 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 25.9 | 25.9 | 26 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 671,584 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 17 | 64 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 821,381 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10 | 60 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,165,534 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4 | 47 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 942,812 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 531,837 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 39 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,262,818 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 34 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 398,644 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 | 23 | 49 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,693,184 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1 | 29 | 49 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 335,184 | * | |||||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,200,839 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,017,284 | * | ||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,766,866 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | No | 503,358 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,871,456 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 46 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 540,097 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,179,550 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,140,342 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,658,713 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 0 | No | 471,717 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,445,295 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 533,710 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 913,235 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 46 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 767,030 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,368,926 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 0.4 | 1,113,965 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 27 | 49 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | 464,042 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 364,789 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 4.9 | 590,048 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 12.3 | 416,358 | * | |||||||
| 19 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 51 | 23 | 1 | 24.5 | 266,821 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 37 | 4 | 40.1 | 162,470 | * | ||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 37 | 49 | 9 | 57.7 | 96,465 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 57 | 17 | 73.9 | 52,095 | * | |||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 14 | 57 | 29 | 85.8 | 25,977 | * | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 51 | 42 | 93.4 | 12,468 | * | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 39 | 59 | 97.9 | 5,098 | * | ||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 28 | 72 | 99.5 | 1,897 | * | |||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 15 | 85 | Yes | 651 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 7 | 93 | Yes | 184 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 7,213 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.9 | % | 3.9 | % | 4 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | % | 28,913,820 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
