Arsenal Title Chances Season2 50/50
Lost to FC Bayern 2-6, title odds down 2.5 to 1.9%
3 points 1-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -1.2 | |||||
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.4 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -1.2-0.5+1.4 | -1.2-0.5+1.4 | +8.7+1.6-9.5 | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | ||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.6*-0.1+0.6 | |||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -1.3-0.5+1.5 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +1.6-0.6-1.3 | +1.6-0.6-1.3 | -9.1+1.6+8.3 | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | ||||
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | -0.3*-0.1+0.3 | |||||
| PSG vs Liverpool | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | +0.6-0.1-0.6 | |||||
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -1.4-0.5+1.6 | |||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +1.2-0.7-0.9 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 2,432 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 190 | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.3 | 98.3 | 98 | 2 | No | 357 | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.3 | 97.3 | 97 | 3 | No | 583 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 96.9 | 96.9 | 97 | 3 | No | 2,362 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 93.3 | 93.3 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 3,678 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 90.3 | 90.3 | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 7,127 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 82.3 | 82.3 | 82 | 17 | 1 | No | 15,723 | * | |||||||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 73.0 | 73.0 | 73 | 26 | 1 | 0 | No | 22,339 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 61.8 | 61.8 | 62 | 35 | 3 | 0 | No | 40,507 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 46.0 | 46.0 | 46 | 45 | 9 | 0 | No | 67,832 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 32.6 | 32.6 | 33 | 50 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 91,328 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 19 | 49 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 143,783 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 202,589 | * | ||||||||
| 30 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 255,639 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 351,253 | * | ||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 233,551 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 198,536 | * | |||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 500,765 | * | ||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 466,502 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 137,289 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 339,617 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | 324,594 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 543,950 | ||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 156,832 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | 542,750 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 208,031 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 9.8 | 407,457 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 13.4 | 334,987 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 47 | 23 | 2 | 25.6 | 543,169 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 23 | 2 | 25.3 | 163,399 | * | |||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 7 | 46.7 | 466,671 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 34 | 5 | 39.7 | 209,521 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 48 | 14 | 61.3 | 340,201 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 49 | 16 | 65.7 | 257,713 | * | |||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 52 | 26 | 78.1 | 508,169 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 49 | 41 | 89.3 | 291,524 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 36 | 86.4 | 140,301 | * | ||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 43 | 51 | 94.1 | 193,852 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 41 | 55 | 95.1 | 143,967 | * | |||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 33 | 65 | 97.5 | 255,316 | * | ||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 24 | 76 | 99.1 | 189,024 | * | ||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 16 | 84 | 99.7 | 129,743 | * | |||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.9 | 84,085 | * | |||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 53,559 | * | |||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 31,062 | * | |||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 16,596 | * | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 8,897 | * | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,906 | * | ||||||||||||
| 3 | -6 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 4,682 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1.9 | % | 1.9 | % | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 29.5 | % | 9,637,940 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
