Arsenal Title Chances Season2
Lost to FC Bayern 2-6, title odds down 0.6 to 0.08%
3 points 1-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Manchester United 5 Wolfsburg 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.8 | |||||
| Real Madrid 1 Chelsea 4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.7 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | +5.7-0.9-12.5 | -0.3+0.0+0.6 | ||||
| Manchester City vs PSG | -0.8+0.1+1.4 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| FC Bayern vs Tottenham | -2.6+0.2+5.6 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/19 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Title | 100.0* | League 1 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | -12.6-1.2+5.3 | +0.6+0.0-0.2 | ||||
| PSG vs Liverpool | +1.4*-0.0-1.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Manchester City vs FC Bayern | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Chelsea vs Tottenham | -2.8+0.1+5.7 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid | +1.8-0.4-0.8 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | Count | |||||
| 45 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.4 | % | 99.4 | % | 99 | 1 | No | 7,192 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 13 | ||||||||||||||
| 42 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 88.9 | 88.9 | 89 | 11 | No | 45 | |||||||||||||
| 41 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 86.8 | 86.8 | 87 | 13 | No | 76 | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 79.4 | 79.4 | 79 | 21 | No | 339 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 67.0 | 67.0 | 67 | 33 | 0 | No | 636 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 56.2 | 56.2 | 56 | 41 | 3 | No | 1,393 | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 42.1 | 42.1 | 42 | 52 | 6 | 0 | No | 3,796 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 32 | 57 | 11 | 0 | No | 6,372 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20 | 61 | 18 | 1 | No | 13,186 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 10 | 56 | 30 | 4 | 0 | No | 26,889 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5 | 45 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,179 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 31 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 77,430 | * | ||||||||
| 31 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 17 | 45 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 129,860 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 189,063 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 303,748 | * | ||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 443,497 | * | ||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 22 | 43 | 26 | 5 | 0 | No | 591,493 | * | |||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 836,946 | * | |||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 551,164 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 44 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 530,653 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,314,214 | * | ||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 48 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 1,646,819 | * | ||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 973,948 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 2.9 | 917,861 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 6.4 | 2,069,180 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 14.4 | 1,664,168 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 29 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 12.0 | 638,508 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 59 | 23 | 1 | 23.1 | 1,268,230 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 59 | 25 | 1 | 26.0 | 1,092,119 | * | |||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 2 | 37.4 | 2,302,862 | * | ||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 44 | 48 | 5 | 52.8 | 1,601,688 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 47 | 45 | 4 | 49.1 | 661,224 | * | ||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 34 | 56 | 9 | 64.3 | 1,111,167 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 32 | 57 | 10 | 66.9 | 932,978 | * | ||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 22 | 61 | 16 | 77.1 | 1,757,018 | * | |||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 13 | 61 | 25 | 86.8 | 1,080,487 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 15 | 62 | 23 | 85.0 | 429,357 | * | |||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 92.3 | 631,475 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 93.1 | 557,711 | * | |||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 49 | 48 | 96.5 | 875,846 | * | ||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 39 | 60 | 98.6 | 644,514 | * | ||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 29 | 71 | 99.6 | 426,738 | * | |||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 20 | 80 | 99.9 | 257,435 | * | |||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 12 | 88 | 100.0 | 155,473 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | 81,645 | * | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 4 | 96 | Yes | 35,635 | * | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 15,739 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,660 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 8,151 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.1 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 36.9 | % | 28,913,820 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
