Loony Loonies Playoff Chances 2017-2018 50/50
Beat Crottes 16-13, playoff odds up 8 to 76.4%
7 points 3-4-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Boose d'Or | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Crottes 13 Loonies 16 | +9.3 | +1.5 | +0.6 | |||
| Mile-Enders 15 Calumets 14 | +1.4 | -0.3 | ||||
| Punks 10 Titans 19 | -0.9 | +0.2 | ||||
| Bizoune 22 Crew 12 | -0.9 | +0.2 | ||||
| National 13 Balls 16 | -0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Week of 12/4 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Boose d'Or | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Crew vs Loonies | -8.0-6.8-6.8+7.2+7.2+7.9 | -2.4-2.3-2.3+2.2+2.2+2.5 | -0.7-0.6-0.6+0.6+0.6+0.7 | |||
| Mile-Enders vs Crottes | +1.0+0.8+0.8-0.8-0.9-1.0 | -0.5-0.5-0.4+0.5+0.5+0.4 | ||||
| National vs Calumets | +0.6+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.4-0.6 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Bizoune vs Titans | +0.3*-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.3 | -0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1*+0.0 | ||||
| Punks vs Balls | *-0.0-0.2-0.3*+0.1+0.2*+0.0 | *-0.0-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.1*+0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Loonies finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Boose | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | d'Or | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 33 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | 3,381 | |||||||||||
| 31 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98.1 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 14,381 | |||||||||||
| 29 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 88.0 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 85,374 | ||||||||||
| 27 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 56.9 | 57 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 314,597 | |||||||||
| 25 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 14.6 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 785,626 | ||||||||
| 23 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | 0.3 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,411,274 | ||||||
| 21 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1,880,470 | |||||
| 19 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 91.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 1,883,888 | ||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 42.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 45 | 13 | 1,412,741 | ||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 7.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 47 | 784,860 | |||||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 314,399 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 86,051 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 14,323 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 3,375 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 76.4 | % | 4.3 | % | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 8,994,740 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
