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National de Quebec Playoff Chances 2016-2017
Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 90.3%
0 points 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed |
| National vs Crottes | +3.2+3.1+3.1-3.9-3.9-4.3 | +4.0+3.9+3.9-5.1-5.1-5.3 | +0.5+0.5+0.5-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |||
| Bizoune vs Loonies | +0.3+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4 | -0.7-0.7-0.7+0.9+0.9+1.0 | ||||
| Punks vs Calumets | +0.2+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2 | -0.4-0.4-0.5+0.5+0.5+0.6 | ||||
| Balls vs Titans | +0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0 | -0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Mile-Enders vs Crew | +0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | -0.1-0.1-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed |
| National vs Crew | +3.1+3.1+3.1-3.9-3.9-4.3 | +4.0+3.9+3.9-5.1-5.1-5.4 | +0.5+0.5+0.5-0.6-0.6-0.6 | |||
| Bizoune vs Balls | +0.3+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3 | -0.6-0.6-0.6+0.8+0.8+0.8 | ||||
| Mile-Enders vs Loonies | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3 | -0.4-0.4-0.4+0.5+0.5+0.5 | ||||
| Punks vs Crottes | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2 | -0.4-0.4-0.4+0.5+0.5+0.6 | ||||
| Calumets vs Titans | +0.1+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the National finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 40 | -42 | In | Yes | 100 | 18,356 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 19 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | 23,932 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 18 | - | 3 | In | 99.8 | 100 | 0 | 130,274 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 17 | - | 4 | In | 98.7 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 499,965 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 16 | - | 5 | In | 94.1 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1,440,638 | ||||||||||
| 30 | 15 | - | 6 | In | 80.5 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3,251,681 | ||||||||||
| 28 | 14 | - | 7 | In | 52.7 | 53 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5,868,457 | |||||||||
| 26 | 13 | - | 8 | In | 19.2 | 19 | 46 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8,631,537 | ||||||||
| 24 | 12 | - | 9 | In | 2.0 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10,458,829 | ||||||
| 22 | 11 | - | 10 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10,500,828 | ||||
| 20 | 10 | - | 11 | 99.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8,756,930 | |||||
| 18 | 9 | - | 12 | 80.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 6,076,497 | ||||||
| 16 | 8 | - | 13 | 34.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 46 | 20 | 3,494,898 | |||||||
| 14 | 7 | - | 14 | 6.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 55 | 1,654,951 | |||||||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 15 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 638,346 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 16 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 197,745 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 17 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 47,654 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 18 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 8,907 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | -4 | Out | No | 100 | 16,595 | * | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 90.3 | % | 15.6 | % | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 61,717,020 | |||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:55 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
