SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Fauquier Blues Playoff Chances 2009

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 99.96%

14-4-0 .778

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Longhorns 5 Knights 6	-0.1
Knights 2 Longhorns 17	+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Longhorns vs Knights	+0.0+0.0-0.1
Blues vs Ermis			+0.2+0.2-0.1
Yankees vs Blues	-0.0In+0.0		-0.1+0.2+0.2
Red Sox vs Patriots			+0.0+0.0-0.1
Patriots vs Hawks			+0.1+0.2-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 7/25	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues vs Knights	InIn-0.1		+0.1+0.0-0.3
Blues vs White Sox	+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.0-0.3
Knights vs Yankees	-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Patriots vs Knights	+0.0+0.0-0.1
Yankees vs Patriots			+0.0+0.0-0.1
Red Sox vs Hawks			+0.1+0.1-0.2
D'Backs vs Hawks			+0.2+0.2-0.1
Hawks vs D'Backs			-0.1+0.2+0.2
Hawks vs Phillies			-0.0+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

18		4	-	0	-	0	In		0	0	0	100												253,687
17	.5	3	-	0	-	1	In			0	0	100												44,051
17		3	-	1	-	0	In					88	12											948,923
		2	-	0	-	2	In					88	12											2,728
16	.5	2	-	1	-	1	In					85	15	0										113,621
		1	-	0	-	3	In					86	14											65
16		2	-	2	-	0	In					48	51	1										1,103,926
		1	-	1	-	2	In					49	50	1										4,186
15	.5	1	-	2	-	1	In					43	55	2										76,600
		0	-	1	-	3	In					62	36	3										39
15		1	-	3	-	0	100.0	%				11	73	16	0									400,691
		0	-	2	-	2	In					11	73	16										1,302
14	.5	0	-	3	-	1	100.0					9	71	20	0									13,015
14		0	-	4	-	0	97.8					1	47	50	2									45,505

Total:							100.0	%	0	0	0	61	35	3	0									3,008,339

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs