BoozeOnFirst Playoff Chances 2012Winter 50/50

Lost to WinOrLoseBooze 2-12, playoff odds down 17.1 to 26.6%

0-2-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
WinOrLoseBooze 12 BoozeOnFirst 2	-16.9		-1.0
GoGoGadgetBalls 15 HPYen 4	+0.4
BallStars 2 BLC 2	-0.2
AU 20 PinkPandas 3	+0.2

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/6	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BoozeOnFirst vs AU	+14.2-1.8-13.8		+0.8-0.1-0.8
GoGoGadgetBalls vs BLC	+1.2+0.1-1.2		+0.1-0.0-0.1
PinkPandas vs WinOrLoseBooze	+0.6*+0.0-0.6
SundayAnxiety vs BallStars	-0.4-0.5+0.5
MixedNuts vs HPYen	-0.1-0.4+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the BoozeOnFirst finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

5		5	-	0	-	0	In		23	49	24	4	0	0					201,479
4	.5	4	-	0	-	1	100.0	%	3	23	42	26	5	0	0				220,121
4		4	-	1	-	0	99.0		0	3	16	36	33	11	1	0			989,334
		3	-	0	-	2	99.3		0	3	16	36	33	10	1	0			97,585
3	.5	3	-	1	-	1	81.3			0	1	9	31	41	17	2	0		879,855
		2	-	0	-	3	82.7			0	1	8	33	41	16	1	0		21,855
3		3	-	2	-	0	26.2				0	0	4	22	41	27	5	0	1,982,332
		2	-	1	-	2	25.0				0	0	4	21	42	28	6	0	293,047
		1	-	0	-	4	23.2					0	3	20	44	28	5	0	2,404
2	.5	2	-	2	-	1	2.4					0	0	2	18	42	32	5	1,321,392
		1	-	1	-	3	2.4						0	2	18	43	31	5	43,350
		0	-	0	-	5	3.4							3	19	44	28	6	116
2		2	-	3	-	0	0.1						0	0	2	19	49	30	1,981,844
		1	-	2	-	2	0.0						0	0	2	16	49	34	293,516
		0	-	1	-	4	0.0							0	1	13	48	38	2,397
1	.5	1	-	3	-	1	0.0							0	0	3	33	64	879,472
		0	-	2	-	3	Out								0	2	34	64	21,711
1		1	-	4	-	0	Out									0	12	88	990,085
		0	-	3	-	2	Out									0	6	94	98,044
0	.5	0	-	4	-	1	Out										2	98	219,567
0		0	-	5	-	0	Out											100	201,169

Total:							26.6	%	1	2	3	5	7	9	13	15	20	25	10,740,675

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs