Wisconsin Playoff Chances 2016-2017Lost to PSU 2-5, playoff odds down 25.1 to 57.8% 24 points 8-0 4-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 2/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed | UW 2 PSU 5 | -15.6 | | -14.2 | | -0.4 | | UW 3 PSU 6 | -5.7 | | -13.5 | | -0.2 | | OSU 5 MU 6 | +1.4 | | -6.7 | | -0.0 | | OSU 5 MU 4 | -0.8 | | +11.5 | | +0.1 | | UM 1 MSU 4 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway | Week of 2/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed | UW vs UM | +3.7-0.5-11.9-17.0 | | +1.8-1.8-5.8-7.6 | | +0.1-0.0-0.2-0.3 | | UW vs UM | +3.7-0.5-11.9-17.0 | | +1.8-1.8-5.8-7.6 | | +0.1-0.0-0.2-0.3 | | PSU vs MU | -6.8-4.6+3.8+6.3 | | +3.8+1.3-1.3-3.5 | | | | PSU vs MU | -6.8-4.6+3.8+6.3 | | +3.8+1.3-1.3-3.5 | | | | MSU vs OSU | +1.4+1.0-0.2-1.0 | | +0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | | MSU vs OSU | +1.4+1.0-0.2-1.0 | | +0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the UW finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | 1st in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | W | | L | - | SO | playoffs | Group | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | -48 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | 373,689 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 95.9 | % | 96 | 4 | | | | | 225,532 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 89.5 | | 89 | 11 | | | | | 1,454,752 | | | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 92.9 | | 93 | 7 | | | | | 139,600 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 76.7 | | 77 | 23 | | | | | 1,127,968 | | | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 75.6 | | 76 | 24 | | | | | 100,713 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 55.0 | | 55 | 45 | | | | | 1,020,332 | | | 5 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 68.4 | | 68 | 32 | | | | | 421,735 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | 42.5 | | 42 | 57 | 0 | | | | 4,590,895 | | | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | 46.2 | | 46 | 53 | 0 | | | | 770,100 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 98.8 | | 26.7 | | 27 | 72 | 1 | | | | 3,058,143 | | | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 96.3 | | 18.9 | | 19 | 77 | 4 | | | | 277,012 | | | 4 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 99.1 | | 31.6 | | 32 | 67 | 1 | | | | 204,281 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 88.8 | | 10.6 | | 11 | 78 | 11 | 0 | | | 2,493,332 | | | 4 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 96.3 | | 18.9 | | 19 | 77 | 4 | | | | 879,634 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 91.1 | | 11.6 | | 12 | 79 | 9 | 0 | | | 153,784 | | 39 | | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 77.8 | | 5.3 | | 5 | 72 | 22 | 0 | | | 7,478,057 | | | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 79.4 | | 5.8 | | 6 | 74 | 21 | 0 | | | 1,384,642 | | | 3 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 85.4 | | 7.9 | | 8 | 78 | 15 | 0 | | | 200,112 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 72.3 | | 2.1 | | 2 | 70 | 28 | 0 | | | 4,154,732 | | | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 61.5 | | 1.1 | | 1 | 60 | 38 | 1 | | | 498,775 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 72.7 | | 2.6 | | 3 | 70 | 27 | 0 | | | 338,038 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 43.5 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 43 | 53 | 3 | | | 2,992,683 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 60.5 | | 1.0 | | 1 | 60 | 39 | 1 | | | 921,512 | | | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 48.9 | | 0.5 | | 0 | 48 | 49 | 3 | | | 261,662 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 30.4 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 30 | 64 | 5 | | | 6,744,893 | | | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 32.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 32 | 63 | 5 | | | 1,329,003 | | | 2 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 43.1 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 43 | 54 | 3 | | | 101,906 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 3 | 31.4 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 31 | 61 | 7 | | | 86,281 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 25.7 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 26 | 65 | 9 | | | 2,992,876 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | 17.3 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 17 | 64 | 19 | | | 416,288 | | | 2 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 24.8 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 25 | 64 | 11 | | | 245,327 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | 7.9 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 8 | 59 | 33 | | | 1,874,822 | | | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 15.6 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 16 | 64 | 20 | | | 515,003 | * | | 2 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 9.1 | | No | | 9 | 59 | 32 | | | 142,699 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4.1 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 4 | 57 | 39 | 0 | | 3,381,836 | | | 2 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 4.4 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 4 | 56 | 39 | 0 | | 623,990 | | | 1 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 0 | 5.4 | | No | | 5 | 55 | 40 | | | 78,902 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 2.8 | | No | | 3 | 48 | 50 | 0 | | 1,126,604 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 2 | 1.7 | | No | | 2 | 37 | 61 | 0 | | 248,749 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | No | | 0 | 22 | 77 | 0 | | 617,882 | | | 1 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.9 | | No | | 1 | 30 | 69 | 0 | | 166,982 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | 0 | 19 | 81 | 0 | | 929,224 | | | 1 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | No | | 0 | 18 | 82 | 0 | | 150,890 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 0 | | 248,082 | * | 28 | | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | 3 | 95 | 2 | | 116,245 | * | 27 | | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 95 | 3 | 0 | 142,410 | * | 26 | | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | 0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 17,205 | * | 25 | | 0 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | 0 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 6,588 | | 24 | | 0 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | 0 | 77 | 22 | 0 | 31,418 | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 57.8 | % | 14.1 | % | 14 | 44 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 57,857,820 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |