Michigan Playoff Chances 2016-2017
Lost to MSU 1-4, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.02%
10 points 2-2 8-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UM 1 MSU 4 | -0.2 | |||||
| MSU 4 UM 5 (so) | No | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway | ||||||
| Week of 2/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UW vs UM | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1 | NoNo*No+0.0 | -0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2 | |||
| UW vs UM | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1 | NoNo*No+0.0 | -0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2 | |||
| MSU vs OSU | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| MSU vs OSU | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the UM finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | 1st in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | W | L | - | SO | playoffs | Group | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 50.7 | % | 0.6 | % | 1 | 50 | 47 | 2 | 24,266 | |||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 23.0 | No | 23 | 64 | 13 | 248 | ||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 9.4 | No | 9 | 60 | 31 | 0 | 894 | * | ||||||
| 31 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3.3 | No | 3 | 46 | 47 | 4 | 8,141 | * | ||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 0.7 | No | 1 | 26 | 63 | 10 | 6,984 | * | ||||||
| 29 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 12 | 64 | 23 | 21,369 | * | ||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 6 | 53 | 41 | 97,900 | * | ||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 43 | 56 | 0 | 79,404 | * | ||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 30 | 69 | 0 | 205,490 | * | ||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 17 | 82 | 0 | 534,300 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 16 | 84 | 0 | 114,912 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 0 | 296,446 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 0 | 182,080 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 93 | 0 | 927,578 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 1 | 68,826 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 0 | 73,224 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 96 | 2 | 2,092,538 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 97 | 2 | 411,454 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 97 | 2 | 91,361 | * | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 96 | 3 | 925,966 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 97 | 3 | 637,363 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 97 | 3 | 94,380 | * | ||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 95 | 5 | 2,864,641 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 95 | 5 | 211,580 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 94 | 6 | 180,054 | * | ||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 90 | 10 | 5,163,100 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 90 | 10 | 988,130 | * | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 88 | 12 | 219,087 | * | |||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 87 | 13 | 1,715,622 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 86 | 14 | 1,449,948 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 86 | 14 | 157,459 | * | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 80 | 20 | 5,225,130 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 80 | 20 | 321,797 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 79 | 21 | 232,792 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 69 | 31 | 7,842,156 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 69 | 31 | 1,160,089 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 3 | Out | No | 65 | 35 | 349,898 | * | |||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 62 | 38 | 1,740,794 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | 62 | 38 | 1,737,779 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 62 | 38 | 102,910 | * | |||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | 52 | 48 | 5,211,277 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | 52 | 48 | 193,120 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 49 | 51 | 123,013 | * | |||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | 36 | 64 | 6,705,414 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | 36 | 64 | 580,781 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 3 | Out | No | 33 | 67 | 189,402 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 2 | Out | No | 30 | 70 | 852,784 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | 30 | 70 | 747,254 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | 21 | 79 | 2,197,909 | |||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | 9 | 91 | 2,498,776 | |||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 33 | 57,857,820 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
