Penn State Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50Beat UW 5-2, playoff odds up 12.3 to 42.3% 22 points 7-0 4-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 2/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed | UW 2 PSU 5 | +12.8 | | +6.5 | | +0.4 | | UW 3 PSU 6 | +9.6 | | +3.5 | | +0.3 | | OSU 5 MU 4 | +1.3 | | +1.1 | | | | OSU 5 MU 6 | -1.2 | | -1.7 | | | | UM 1 MSU 4 | +0.2 | | | | | | MSU 4 UM 5 (so) | *-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway | Week of 2/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed | PSU vs MU | +13.9+4.9-7.9-13.6 | | +9.9+1.7-6.2-9.4 | | +0.3+0.1-0.2-0.3 | | PSU vs MU | +13.9+4.8-7.9-13.6 | | +9.9+1.7-6.2-9.4 | | +0.3+0.1-0.2-0.3 | | UW vs UM | -5.3-3.4+2.6+5.4 | | -1.9-1.1+1.1+1.9 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | | UW vs UM | -5.3-3.4+2.7+5.4 | | -1.9-1.1+1.1+1.9 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | | MSU vs OSU | +1.8+1.1-0.5-1.9 | | +0.2+0.1*-0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | | MSU vs OSU | +1.8+1.0-0.5-1.8 | | +0.2+0.1*-0.0-0.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the PSU finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | 1st in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | W | | L | - | SO | playoffs | Group | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | 40,925 | | 45 | | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.5 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | 28,949 | | 44 | | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 97.3 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | 39,927 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 94.8 | | 95 | 5 | | | | | 284,724 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 87.8 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | 220,745 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 99.7 | | 73.7 | | 74 | 26 | 0 | | | | 201,692 | | | 5 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | 80.6 | | 81 | 19 | 0 | | | | 76,638 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 99.4 | | 67.0 | | 67 | 32 | 1 | | | | 906,755 | | | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 99.3 | | 65.9 | | 66 | 33 | 1 | | | | 151,128 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 97.6 | | 50.2 | | 50 | 47 | 2 | 0 | | | 604,598 | | | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 95.9 | | 44.8 | | 45 | 51 | 4 | 0 | | | 67,520 | | | 4 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 97.8 | | 50.9 | | 51 | 47 | 2 | | | | 40,498 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 88.3 | | 27.0 | | 27 | 61 | 12 | 0 | | | 604,835 | | | 4 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 93.0 | | 36.0 | | 36 | 57 | 7 | 0 | | | 168,698 | | | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 89.5 | | 28.8 | | 29 | 61 | 10 | 0 | | | 43,938 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 83.9 | | 21.1 | | 21 | 63 | 16 | 0 | | | 1,816,758 | | | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 82.6 | | 19.2 | | 19 | 63 | 17 | 0 | | | 336,769 | | | 3 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 83.5 | | 21.9 | | 22 | 62 | 16 | 0 | | | 46,144 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 70.6 | | 10.1 | | 10 | 61 | 29 | 1 | | | 1,008,160 | | | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 61.6 | | 6.4 | | 6 | 55 | 38 | 1 | | | 168,226 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 69.8 | | 9.4 | | 9 | 60 | 30 | 1 | | | 82,949 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 43.2 | | 2.1 | | 2 | 41 | 53 | 4 | | | 1,008,083 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 52.4 | | 4.0 | | 4 | 48 | 45 | 3 | | | 223,745 | | | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 44.5 | | 2.3 | | 2 | 42 | 52 | 3 | | | 84,909 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 36.5 | | 1.3 | | 1 | 35 | 58 | 6 | | | 2,266,732 | | | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 34.2 | | 1.0 | | 1 | 33 | 60 | 6 | | | 447,835 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 3 | 33.9 | | 1.2 | | 1 | 33 | 60 | 6 | | | 63,074 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 22.5 | | 0.3 | | 0 | 22 | 67 | 11 | 0 | | 1,005,513 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | 15.1 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 15 | 72 | 12 | 0 | | 223,799 | | | 2 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 19.9 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 20 | 69 | 11 | | | 84,948 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | 6.9 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 7 | 68 | 25 | 0 | | 1,007,136 | | | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 10.1 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 10 | 68 | 22 | 0 | | 167,933 | | | 2 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 7.1 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 7 | 69 | 24 | 0 | | 83,203 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 4.5 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 5 | 63 | 33 | 0 | | 1,815,143 | | | 2 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 4.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 4 | 63 | 33 | 0 | | 335,246 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 3 | 3.3 | | No | | 3 | 64 | 33 | 0 | | 45,735 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 1.7 | | No | | 2 | 55 | 42 | 1 | | 604,518 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 2 | 0.6 | | No | | 1 | 54 | 45 | 1 | | 167,438 | | | 1 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 1.2 | | No | | 1 | 56 | 43 | 1 | | 43,542 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | No | | 0 | 36 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 606,190 | | | 1 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.2 | | No | | 0 | 39 | 59 | 2 | | 107,393 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 24 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 909,130 | | | 1 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 25 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 151,724 | * | 27 | | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 201,655 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | 15 | 67 | 18 | 0 | 76,063 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | 5 | 61 | 32 | 2 | 220,567 | * | 25 | | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | 1 | 41 | 50 | 8 | 284,746 | * | 24 | | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | 1 | 32 | 55 | 13 | 40,204 | * | 23 | | 0 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | 0 | 15 | 53 | 32 | 28,864 | | 22 | | 0 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | 5 | 42 | 53 | 40,296 | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 42.3 | % | 14.2 | % | 14 | 28 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 19,285,940 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |