Penn State Playoff Chances 2016-2017Beat UW 5-2, playoff odds up 26.2 to 42% 22 points 7-0 4-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 2/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed | UW 2 PSU 5 | +15.6 | | +5.2 | | +0.4 | | UW 3 PSU 6 | +5.5 | | +0.8 | | +0.3 | | OSU 5 MU 6 | -0.5 | | -0.9 | | +0.1 | | OSU 5 MU 4 | +0.4 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway | Week of 2/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed | PSU vs MU | +12.7+5.5-7.0-11.6 | | +8.0+0.4-5.0-6.9 | | +0.3+0.1-0.1-0.3 | | PSU vs MU | +12.7+5.5-7.0-11.6 | | +8.0+0.4-5.0-6.9 | | +0.3+0.1-0.1-0.3 | | UW vs UM | -2.6*+0.1+8.6+12.2 | | -0.3*+0.0+0.9+1.2 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2 | | UW vs UM | -2.6+0.1+8.6+12.2 | | -0.3*+0.0+0.9+1.2 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2 | | MSU vs OSU | +1.8+1.3*-0.1-1.3 | | | | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1 | | MSU vs OSU | +1.8+1.3-0.1-1.3 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the PSU finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | 1st in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | W | | L | - | SO | playoffs | Group | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | 437,628 | | 45 | | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 91.0 | % | 91 | 9 | | | | | 367,097 | | 44 | | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 71.0 | | 71 | 29 | | | | | 252,559 | | | 6 | - | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 82.5 | | 83 | 17 | | | | | 142,272 | | 43 | | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 61.5 | | 61 | 39 | | | | | 2,272,754 | | | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 61.9 | | 62 | 38 | | | | | 227,959 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 42.2 | | 42 | 58 | 0 | | | | 1,765,901 | | | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | 41.3 | | 41 | 58 | 0 | | | | 135,670 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 93.7 | | 18.2 | | 18 | 76 | 6 | | | | 1,188,357 | | | 5 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 97.7 | | 26.5 | | 27 | 71 | 2 | | | | 645,459 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 90.4 | | 12.7 | | 13 | 78 | 10 | 0 | | | 5,353,417 | | | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 90.4 | | 12.6 | | 13 | 78 | 10 | 0 | | | 923,630 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 81.1 | | 5.9 | | 6 | 75 | 19 | 0 | | | 3,566,943 | | | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 70.6 | | 3.4 | | 3 | 67 | 29 | 0 | | | 262,432 | | | 4 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 80.4 | | 5.6 | | 6 | 75 | 20 | 0 | | | 239,656 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 49.6 | | 0.8 | | 1 | 49 | 50 | 1 | | | 2,356,484 | | | 4 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 61.3 | | 1.8 | | 2 | 60 | 38 | 0 | | | 991,279 | | | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 53.5 | | 1.1 | | 1 | 52 | 46 | 1 | | | 180,731 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 43.0 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 43 | 55 | 2 | | | 7,082,725 | | | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 42.1 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 42 | 56 | 2 | | | 1,310,033 | | | 3 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 45.1 | | 0.6 | | 1 | 44 | 53 | 1 | | | 213,382 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 31.5 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 31 | 65 | 4 | | | 3,930,847 | | | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 20.5 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 20 | 75 | 5 | | | 424,932 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 29.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 29 | 67 | 4 | | | 320,675 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 9.6 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 10 | 76 | 15 | | | 2,553,851 | | | 3 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 14.6 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 15 | 72 | 13 | | | 872,002 | | | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 10.7 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 11 | 75 | 14 | | | 226,214 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 7.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 7 | 72 | 21 | | | 5,751,005 | | | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 6.6 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 7 | 72 | 21 | | | 1,132,338 | | | 2 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 0 | 6.7 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 7 | 72 | 21 | | | 171,695 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 3.9 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 4 | 67 | 29 | 0 | | 2,553,753 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | 1.6 | | No | | 2 | 67 | 31 | | | 362,248 | | | 2 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | 3.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 3 | 68 | 29 | | | 210,853 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | No | | 0 | 52 | 48 | 0 | | 1,628,442 | | | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | 0.9 | | No | | 1 | 52 | 47 | 0 | | 425,240 | | | 2 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | 0.5 | | No | | 0 | 52 | 48 | 0 | | 137,932 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.3 | | No | | 0 | 43 | 57 | 0 | | 2,934,502 | | | 2 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | No | | 0 | 43 | 57 | 0 | | 613,673 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | 0 | 35 | 64 | 0 | | 976,981 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 35 | 65 | 0 | | 236,571 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 22 | 78 | 0 | | 611,354 | | | 1 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 22 | 78 | 0 | | 149,733 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 15 | 84 | 1 | | 921,811 | | | 1 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | 0 | 16 | 84 | 0 | | 149,987 | * | 27 | | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | 12 | 88 | 1 | | 254,906 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | 5 | 92 | 3 | 0 | 142,490 | * | 25 | | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | 2 | 90 | 8 | 0 | 178,079 | * | 24 | | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | 1 | 87 | 12 | 0 | 22,179 | * | 23 | | 0 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | 0 | 75 | 23 | 1 | 10,885 | | 22 | | 0 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | 55 | 40 | 5 | 36,274 | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 42.0 | % | 8.5 | % | 8 | 34 | 42 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 57,857,820 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |