Ohio State Playoff Chances 2016-2017
Lost to MU 5-6, playoff odds down 6.8 to 5.4%
17 points 5-1 6-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed |
| OSU 5 MU 6 | -7.1 | -1.8 | -0.2 | |||
| OSU 5 MU 4 | +3.0 | +0.4 | +0.2 | |||
| UW 2 PSU 5 | +1.7 | +0.5 | -0.1 | |||
| UW 3 PSU 6 | +0.9 | +0.1 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway | ||||||
| Week of 2/17 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | 1st in Group | 100.0* | Average seed |
| MSU vs OSU | -3.5-2.4+0.3+2.5 | -0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1 | -0.2-0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| MSU vs OSU | -3.5-2.4+0.3+2.5 | -0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1 | -0.2-0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| UW vs UM | -0.6+0.1+2.2+3.0 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1 | -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||
| UW vs UM | -0.6+0.1+2.2+3.0 | -0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1 | -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||
| PSU vs MU | -1.3-0.7+0.3+1.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| PSU vs MU | -1.3-0.7+0.4+1.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the OSU finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | 1st in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | W | L | - | SO | playoffs | Group | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||||
| 41 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 94.1 | % | 19.8 | % | 20 | 74 | 6 | 234,574 | ||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 90.4 | 12.9 | 13 | 78 | 10 | 185,993 | ||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 75.0 | 5.8 | 6 | 69 | 25 | 0 | 262,287 | * | ||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 50.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 49 | 46 | 4 | 1,700,110 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 54.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 53 | 43 | 3 | 163,219 | * | |||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 42.2 | 0.5 | 1 | 42 | 52 | 6 | 1,318,200 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 37.3 | 0.4 | 0 | 37 | 55 | 8 | 114,523 | * | |||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 16.5 | 0.1 | 0 | 16 | 59 | 25 | 1,147,953 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 24.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 24 | 60 | 16 | 491,317 | * | |||||||
| 35 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 53 | 40 | 5,165,525 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 8 | 53 | 39 | 764,772 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 11 | 57 | 31 | 104,533 | * | |||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 47 | 3,440,586 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 53 | 283,562 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 47 | 228,165 | * | |||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 0.9 | No | 1 | 29 | 70 | 0 | 2,546,578 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 1.6 | No | 2 | 34 | 64 | 956,550 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 1.1 | No | 1 | 31 | 68 | 191,291 | * | ||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 20 | 80 | 0 | 7,649,384 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 20 | 80 | 0 | 1,414,335 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 22 | 78 | 0 | 214,204 | * | |||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 16 | 84 | 0 | 4,242,526 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 14 | 86 | 0 | 462,922 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 15 | 84 | 0 | 345,581 | * | |||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 0 | 2,777,038 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | 0 | 943,876 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 0 | 245,577 | * | |||||||
| 29 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 0 | 6,248,041 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 0 | 1,267,889 | * | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 0 | Out | No | 5 | 95 | 0 | 148,634 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 0 | 2,775,821 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 0 | 365,558 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | 3 | - | 1 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 0 | 227,151 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 3 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 98 | 1 | 1,648,624 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | 4 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 98 | 1 | 462,937 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 98 | 1 | 140,283 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 2,972,308 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 621,259 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 990,404 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 218,538 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 546,590 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 92 | 8 | 0 | 146,819 | * | |||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 81 | 18 | 0 | 824,863 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 133,488 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 60 | 37 | 3 | 222,629 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | 39 | 51 | 10 | 108,920 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | 24 | 57 | 19 | 136,202 | * | |||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 43 | 53 | 16,648 | * | |||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 0 | 7 | - | 1 | Out | No | 17 | 83 | 7,037 | |||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 0 | 8 | - | 0 | Out | No | 10 | 90 | 31,996 | |||||||||
| Total: | 5.4 | % | 0.2 | % | 0 | 5 | 21 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 57,857,820 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
