Montreal Is Rigged Playoff Chances 2015-2016
Lost to North Bay Batta 188-324.7, playoff odds down 1.8 to 6.1%
7-11-0 .389
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Lottery | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kebab Removal U 126.2 Minnesota Stars 245.7 | +4.6 | +7.5 | -0.1 | |||
| Montreal Is Rig 188 North Bay Batta 324.7 | -3.8 | +4.4 | -0.2 | |||
| Team Don't Need 226.4 Team ZoomerBee 215.2 | -0.2 | +1.9 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Week of 2/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Lottery | 100.0* | Average seed |
| I Pucked Your S vs Montreal Is Rig | -0.6+3.4+11.5 | +1.3-14.8-23.8 | -0.0+0.3+0.6 | |||
| Team ZoomerBee vs Kebab Removal U | +3.6-0.3-1.4 | -1.9+0.5+0.8 | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |||
| Minnesota Stars vs Columbus Foxes | -1.8-0.8+0.2 | +7.3+4.3-0.6 | -0.2-0.1+0.0 | |||
| North Bay Batta vs Team Don't Need | +0.4*+0.1-1.3 | -2.7+0.4+8.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Montreal Is Rig finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Lottery | Count | |||||
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | No | 0 | 31 | 69 | 0 | No | 23,108 | ||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.4 | No | 7 | 91 | 2 | No | 1,511 | |||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 93.0 | No | 4 | 89 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 257,660 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 82.8 | No | 83 | 17 | No | 134 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 80.6 | No | 1 | 80 | 19 | 0 | No | 36,029 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 50.0 | No | 50 | 50 | No | 2 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 61.2 | No | 0 | 61 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,939,400 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 36.2 | No | 36 | 57 | 7 | No | 1,549 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 27.5 | No | 0 | 27 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 0.2 | 226,797 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 18.5 | No | 19 | 63 | 19 | No | 27 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 8.9 | No | 0 | 9 | 50 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 11,184,116 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 1.8 | No | 2 | 39 | 52 | 8 | 7.7 | 5,640 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 24 | 60 | 16 | 0 | 15.7 | 541,064 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 15 | 61 | 25 | 24.6 | 61 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 45 | 49 | 0 | 49.5 | 18,567,449 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 36 | 63 | 0 | 62.5 | 8,187 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 23 | 77 | 0 | 77.3 | 532,937 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 5 | 95 | 95.2 | 21 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | No | 6 | 93 | 1 | 93.9 | 13,816,386 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 95 | 1 | 96.6 | 3,583 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 97 | 2 | 99.7 | 181,708 | |||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | No | 87 | 13 | Yes | 3,741,639 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 6.1 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 51 | 1 | 51.9 | % | 52,069,008 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 2/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Montreal Is Rig 188 North Bay Batta 324.7 | +0.2 | |
| Kebab Removal U 126.2 Minnesota Stars 245.7 | +0.1 | |
| Team Don't Need 226.4 Team ZoomerBee 215.2 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 2/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| I Pucked Your S vs Montreal Is Rig | +0.0-0.3-0.6 | |
| North Bay Batta vs Team Don't Need | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| Minnesota Stars vs Columbus Foxes | +0.2+0.1-0.0 | |
| Team ZoomerBee vs Kebab Removal U | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 31 | 69 | 0 | |||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | 91 | 2 | |||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 89 | 7 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 83 | 17 | ||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 80 | 19 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 61 | 36 | 3 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 36 | 57 | 7 | |||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 27 | 61 | 11 | 0 | |||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 19 | 63 | 19 | |||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 37 | 4 | 0 | |||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 39 | 52 | 8 | ||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 24 | 60 | 16 | 0 | |||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 15 | 61 | 25 | |||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 49 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1 | 36 | 63 | 0 | ||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 23 | 77 | 0 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 5 | 95 | ||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | 93 | 1 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 3 | 95 | 1 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 97 | 2 | |||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 87 | 13 | |||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 51 | 1 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
