Minnesota Stars Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Beat Kebab Removal U 245.7-126.2, playoff odds up 13 to 15.2%

8-10-0 .444

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Kebab Removal U 126.2 Minnesota Stars 245.7	+5.1		-19.3		+0.4
Montreal Is Rig 188 North Bay Batta 324.7	-0.1		-2.5		+0.0
Team Don't Need 226.4 Team ZoomerBee 215.2	-0.1		+4.0		-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 2/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota Stars vs Columbus Foxes	+20.6+4.9-1.8		-13.6-8.6+1.2		+0.6+0.3-0.1
Team ZoomerBee vs Kebab Removal U	+9.2-0.8-3.7		-1.5+0.5+0.6		+0.2-0.0-0.1
North Bay Batta vs Team Don't Need	+0.7*+0.2-2.2		-1.4+0.2+4.4		+0.1+0.0-0.2
I Pucked Your S vs Montreal Is Rig	+0.1-1.0-2.2		-0.5+5.1+9.6		+0.0-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Minnesota Stars finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Lottery		Count

14		6	-	0	-	0	100.0	%	No		0	94	6	0				No		20,110
13	.5	5	-	0	-	1	In		No		0	72	28					No		888
13		5	-	1	-	0	98.4		No		0	43	55	2	0			No		149,348
		4	-	0	-	2	97.0		No			23	74	3				No		66
12	.5	4	-	1	-	1	94.1		No			18	76	6				No		22,860
		3	-	0	-	3	In		No			67	33					No		3
12		4	-	2	-	0	84.2		No			8	76	16	0			No		1,902,913
		3	-	1	-	2	64.2		No			1	63	36				No		1,143
11	.5	3	-	2	-	1	62.4		No			1	62	37	0			No		181,656
		2	-	1	-	3	34.6		No				35	65				No		26
11		3	-	3	-	0	46.8		No			0	47	51	2	0		0.0	%	9,543,970
		2	-	2	-	2	20.8		No				21	74	5			No		5,357
10	.5	2	-	3	-	1	18.5		No			0	19	72	9	0		0.0		526,729
		1	-	2	-	3	5.7		No				6	77	15	2		1.9		53
10		2	-	4	-	0	7.6		No			0	8	58	33	2	0	1.7		19,072,561
		1	-	3	-	2	0.7		No				1	48	47	4		4.4		8,400
		0	-	2	-	4	Out		No					100				No		1
9	.5	1	-	4	-	1	0.3		No				0	34	57	10	0	9.7		580,815
		0	-	3	-	3	Out		No					11	63	26		25.7		35
9		1	-	5	-	0	0.0		No				0	9	54	36	0	36.3		15,526,041
		0	-	4	-	2	Out		No					3	46	51	0	51.4		4,057
8	.5	0	-	5	-	1	Out		No					0	29	70	0	70.5		208,127
8		0	-	6	-	0	Out		No						10	89	1	90.5		4,313,849

Total:							15.2	%	No		0	1	15	35	30	19	0	19.3	%	52,069,008

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 2/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kebab Removal U 126.2 Minnesota Stars 245.7	-0.4
Team Don't Need 226.4 Team ZoomerBee 215.2	+0.0
Montreal Is Rig 188 North Bay Batta 324.7	-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 2/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Minnesota Stars vs Columbus Foxes	-0.6-0.3+0.1
I Pucked Your S vs Montreal Is Rig	-0.0+0.1+0.2
North Bay Batta vs Team Don't Need	-0.1-0.0+0.2
Team ZoomerBee vs Kebab Removal U	-0.2+0.0+0.1

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

14		6	-	0	-	0		0	94	6	0
13	.5	5	-	0	-	1		0	72	28
13		5	-	1	-	0		0	43	55	2	0
		4	-	0	-	2			23	74	3
12	.5	4	-	1	-	1			18	76	6
		3	-	0	-	3			67	33
12		4	-	2	-	0			8	76	16	0
		3	-	1	-	2			1	63	36
11	.5	3	-	2	-	1			1	62	37	0
		2	-	1	-	3				35	65
11		3	-	3	-	0			0	47	51	2	0
		2	-	2	-	2				21	74	5
10	.5	2	-	3	-	1			0	19	72	9	0
		1	-	2	-	3				6	77	15	2
10		2	-	4	-	0			0	8	58	33	2	0
		1	-	3	-	2				1	48	47	4
		0	-	2	-	4					100
9	.5	1	-	4	-	1				0	34	57	10	0
		0	-	3	-	3					11	63	26
9		1	-	5	-	0				0	9	54	36	0
		0	-	4	-	2					3	46	51	0
8	.5	0	-	5	-	1					0	29	70	0
8		0	-	6	-	0						10	89	1

Total:								0	1	15	35	30	19	0