Jay's Retirement Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Lost to Andrew 87.58-121.8, playoff odds down 10.4 to 16.5%
2-4-0 .333
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Andrew 121.8 Michael 87.58 | -10.7 | -0.8 | ||
| Joe 115.1 AJ/Sean 109.38 | -1.0 | -0.0 | ||
| Ermali 74.26 Kevin 63.64 | -0.3 | |||
| Erin 81.12 Brandon 89.38 | *-0.1 | |||
| Oscar 89.88 Jonathan 66.58 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Erin vs Michael | -8.4-6.2+8.7 | -0.7-0.5+0.8 | ||
| Joe vs Jonathan | *+0.0+1.9-0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Ermali vs Brandon | *-0.0+1.8-0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Andrew vs AJ/Sean | -0.9+0.9+0.9 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Oscar vs Kevin | -0.4+1.4+0.3 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Michael finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 10 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 85 | 15 | 1 | 38,874 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 49 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 11,800 | ||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 39 | 45 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 291,113 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 96.4 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1,725 | ||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 93.7 | 5 | 27 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 82,907 | |||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 52.1 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 144 | ||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 88.6 | 3 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,015,576 | |||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 41.9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10,099 | |||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | Out | 13 | 25 | 50 | 13 | 8 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 30.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 249,136 | |||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 3 | 700 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2,031,440 | ||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 25,501 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 3 | 30 | 43 | 23 | 3 | 40 | |||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 414,925 | ||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 33 | 4 | 1,413 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 0 | 2,540,927 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 42 | 7 | 33,674 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 16 | 58 | 27 | 45 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 47 | 10 | 413,757 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 1,427 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 52 | 14 | 2,032,423 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 8 | 52 | 41 | 25,330 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 41 | 59 | 32 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 47 | 47 | 249,300 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 24 | 75 | 680 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 43 | 54 | 1,015,773 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 23 | 77 | 10,208 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 19 | 81 | 82,754 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 9 | 91 | 132 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 15 | 85 | 290,348 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 5 | 95 | 1,730 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 96 | 11,812 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 98 | 38,577 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 16.5 | % | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 13 | 10,924,340 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
