El Michoacano Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Lost to Oscar 66.58-89.88, playoff odds down 12.4 to 56.3%
4-2-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oscar 89.88 Jonathan 66.58 | -11.2 | -0.7 | ||
| Joe 115.1 AJ/Sean 109.38 | -1.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Ermali 74.26 Kevin 63.64 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Andrew 121.8 Michael 87.58 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Joe vs Jonathan | -13.6-9.1+14.0 | -0.8-0.5+0.8 | ||
| Oscar vs Kevin | -0.6+2.5+0.5 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Erin vs Michael | -0.7+2.4+0.6 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Andrew vs AJ/Sean | -1.6+1.5+1.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Ermali vs Brandon | *-0.0+2.7-0.1 | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jonathan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 12 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 39,117 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | 11,962 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 289,083 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 86 | 13 | 0 | 1,727 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 82,698 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 55 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 118 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1,017,289 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 38 | 45 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 10,331 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 28 | 46 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 248,989 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 94.7 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 701 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 20 | 45 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2,033,304 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 88.8 | 3 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25,318 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 44.8 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 24 | 29 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 81.9 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 414,294 | |||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 31.6 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1,370 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 50 | 25 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 72.7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2,541,503 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 33,576 | |||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 7 | 25 | 36 | 30 | 2 | 44 | |||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 414,298 | |||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1,401 | |||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2,031,217 | |||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 25,450 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 19 | 32 | 45 | 3 | 31 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 248,077 | ||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 11 | 37 | 41 | 10 | 657 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 1 | 1,015,960 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 5 | 30 | 50 | 15 | 10,053 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 11 | 78 | 11 | 9 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 53 | 19 | 83,162 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 6 | 40 | 54 | 145 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 55 | 25 | 290,152 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 4 | 41 | 54 | 1,682 | ||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 35 | 63 | 11,993 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 30 | 69 | 38,592 | |||||||||
| Total: | 56.3 | % | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10,924,340 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
