El Michoacano Playoff Chances 2017
Lost to Oscar 66.58-89.88, playoff odds down 21.6 to 68.3%
4-2-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oscar 89.88 Jonathan 66.58 | -8.4 | -0.6 | ||
| Joe 115.1 AJ/Sean 109.38 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Andrew 121.8 Michael 87.58 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Ermali 74.26 Kevin 63.64 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Joe vs Jonathan | -12.8-7.2+13.1 | -0.7-0.4+0.7 | ||
| Andrew vs AJ/Sean | -0.6+2.8+3.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | ||
| Erin vs Michael | -1.0+2.0+1.5 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Oscar vs Kevin | -0.9+1.9+1.3 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Ermali vs Brandon | *-0.0+2.6-0.1 | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jonathan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 12 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 395,111 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 5 | 107,661 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 12 | 0 | 2,215,527 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 13,146 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 53 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 536,328 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.9 | % | 23 | 46 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 957 | ||||||||
| 10 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 42 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5,398,865 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.2 | 14 | 40 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 55,096 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 90.2 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 10 | 41 | |||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98.0 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1,105,489 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 77.5 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3,152 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 95.8 | 4 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7,273,568 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 66.5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 93,905 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 18.7 | 19 | 33 | 39 | 9 | 107 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 55.1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1,223,296 | ||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 13.6 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 4,314 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 43.3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5,912,129 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 8.5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 81,396 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 96 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 781,784 | ||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 47 | 21 | 2 | 2,679 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 2,939,781 | |||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 47 | 27 | 4 | 38,533 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 4 | 34 | 45 | 17 | 53 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 286,184 | |||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 21 | 52 | 25 | 0 | 815 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 864,931 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 17 | 50 | 32 | 0 | 9,165 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 17 | 17 | 67 | 6 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 0 | 54,892 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 3 | 19 | 79 | 107 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 48 | 0 | 136,929 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 20 | 74 | 5 | 844 | ||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 15 | 78 | 6 | 4,224 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 7 | 82 | 11 | 15,906 | |||||||||
| Total: | 68.3 | % | 18 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29,557,020 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
