ignis aurum probat Playoff Chances 2017
Lost to Brandon 81.12-89.38, playoff odds down 28.3 to 26.4%
3-3-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Erin 81.12 Brandon 89.38 | -13.4 | -0.7 | ||
| Joe 115.1 AJ/Sean 109.38 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Andrew 121.8 Michael 87.58 | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Ermali 74.26 Kevin 63.64 | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Oscar 89.88 Jonathan 66.58 | -0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Erin vs Michael | +8.2-10.3-11.7 | +0.5-0.5-0.8 | ||
| Andrew vs AJ/Sean | -0.6+2.7+2.9 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Joe vs Jonathan | *-0.0+2.8-0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Ermali vs Brandon | -0.1+2.7*-0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Oscar vs Kevin | -0.8+1.6+1.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Erin finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 11 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | 99,471 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 31,423 | ||||||||
| 10 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 52 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 794,093 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.4 | 20 | 44 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4,610 | ||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 98.7 | 12 | 39 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 231,505 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 81.5 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 379 | ||||||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97.1 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,907,066 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 74.2 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 28,888 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 31.6 | 5 | 26 | 42 | 26 | 19 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 63.3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 714,195 | ||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 16.3 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1,993 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 51.4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5,878,046 | |||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 10.3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 73,026 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | 7 | 42 | 40 | 11 | 92 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 44 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1,184,066 | ||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 3,835 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 7,158,919 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 51 | 19 | 2 | 94,332 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 6 | 40 | 45 | 9 | 112 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 51 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1,129,365 | |||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 3 | 31 | 51 | 16 | 3,802 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 49 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 5,335,291 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 26 | 52 | 20 | 0 | 65,784 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 7 | 57 | 36 | 58 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 21 | 52 | 26 | 0 | 615,983 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 4 | 38 | 57 | 1 | 1,770 | |||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 0 | 2,360,327 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 32 | 63 | 2 | 23,281 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 18 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 27 | 69 | 2 | 175,792 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 9 | 80 | 10 | 291 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 20 | 75 | 4 | 556,704 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 6 | 80 | 14 | 3,102 | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 78 | 19 | 19,949 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 71 | 28 | 59,428 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 26.4 | % | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 29,557,020 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
