#cuttydoesit Playoff Chances 2017
Beat Erin 89.38-81.12, playoff odds up 16.8 to 69.6%
4-2-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Erin 81.12 Brandon 89.38 | +13.8 | +0.7 | ||
| Joe 115.1 AJ/Sean 109.38 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Andrew 121.8 Michael 87.58 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Ermali 74.26 Kevin 63.64 | -0.9 | -0.0 | ||
| Oscar 89.88 Jonathan 66.58 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 10/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ermali vs Brandon | -12.5-7.1+12.7 | -0.7-0.4+0.7 | ||
| Andrew vs AJ/Sean | -0.6+2.7+3.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | ||
| Erin vs Michael | -1.0+2.0+1.3 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Joe vs Jonathan | *-0.0+2.8-0.1 | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
| Oscar vs Kevin | -1.0+1.9+1.4 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Brandon finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 12 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 394,967 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 5 | 108,705 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 11 | 0 | 2,212,449 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 13,217 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 534,630 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.8 | % | 24 | 46 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 964 | ||||||||
| 10 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 45 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5,393,289 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.4 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55,363 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 93.8 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 32 | ||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 98.4 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1,106,268 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 79.6 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3,212 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 33.3 | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 96.5 | 5 | 28 | 42 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7,283,263 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 70.1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 93,705 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 17.8 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 31 | 6 | 101 | ||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 59.0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1,224,368 | ||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 15.6 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 4,286 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 47.3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5,907,169 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 82,552 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 2.2 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 93 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 783,230 | ||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 2,673 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 2,939,414 | |||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 47 | 25 | 3 | 38,708 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 5 | 14 | 65 | 16 | 37 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 286,443 | |||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 22 | 815 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 866,146 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 31 | 0 | 9,272 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 44 | 56 | 9 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 14 | 48 | 38 | 0 | 55,002 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 31 | 63 | 3 | 90 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 9 | 44 | 46 | 0 | 135,584 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 23 | 73 | 4 | 867 | ||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 16 | 78 | 6 | 4,281 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 7 | 83 | 10 | 15,809 | |||||||||
| Total: | 69.6 | % | 19 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29,557,020 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:56 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
