SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Belle Isle Gator Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Beat-Me 93-107, playoff odds down 6.8 to 69.8%

6-5-0 .545

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gator 93 Beat-Me 107	-20.2		-1.0
Fridge 138 Hillbilly 169	+4.3		+0.2
da Bears 86 damn jets 80	+2.0		-0.0
Eagles 88 Fanatics 131	+1.6		+0.1
Cane Man 126 ARBY's 103	-0.2		-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/25	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Eagles vs Gator	-29.3+16.9+28.7		-0.8+0.4+0.8
da Bears vs Fridge	+7.0+9.0-11.6		+0.1+0.1-0.2
damn jets vs Fanatics	-0.4-6.8+0.3		-0.1-0.2+0.0
Hillbilly vs Beat-Me	-0.8+0.2+0.3		+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cane Man vs Stogies	+0.2*+0.1-0.4		-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gator finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

8		2	-	0	-	0	100.0	%			1	20	71	8	0						9,411,903
7	.5	1	-	0	-	1	98.6				1	13	66	19	1						464,513
7		1	-	1	-	0	54.5					0	20	35	44	2					11,360,429
		0	-	0	-	2	66.1						27	39	34						5,387
6	.5	0	-	1	-	1	17.4							17	50	33					234,893
6		0	-	2	-	0	12.3							12	25	62					1,966,928

Total:							69.8	%			1	8	39	22	24	6					23,444,053

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs