Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Team ZoomerBee Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Plays at North Bay Batta, playoff odds up 0.04 to 59.6%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Team ZoomerBee 145.7 North Bay Batta 84.5	+8.3		+4.3		-6.3		+0.5
Columbus Foxes 172.4 Kebab Removal U 219.5			-0.2		-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
I Pucked Your S vs Team ZoomerBee	-8.3+2.3+8.3		-5.1*+0.5+5.1		+5.6-2.0-5.5		-0.5+0.1+0.5
North Bay Batta vs Minnesota Stars	-0.1*+0.2+0.1		+0.5+0.8-0.5		+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need			+0.2*+0.3-0.2		+0.1-1.2-0.1		+0.0+0.1-0.0
Montreal Is Rig vs Kebab Removal U			-0.3+0.9+0.3		-0.1*-0.5+0.2		-0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota Stars vs Team ZoomerBee	-8.2+2.5+8.2		-5.7*+0.6+5.7		+5.3-2.2-5.3		-0.5+0.1+0.5
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need			-0.2+0.8+0.1		-0.1-0.8+0.1		-0.0+0.1+0.0
Columbus Foxes vs Montreal Is Rig			+0.6*+0.6-0.6		+0.3*+0.0-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Team ZoomerBee finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Lottery		Count

18.5	-22						In		Yes		100								No		3,763	*
18		17	-	4	-	0	In		99.9	%	100	0							No		8,639
		16	-	3	-	2	In		Yes		100								No		39
17	.5	16	-	4	-	1	In		99.7		100	0							No		1,461	*
17		16	-	5	-	0	In		99.2		99	1							No		29,426
		15	-	4	-	2	In		Yes		100								No		122
16	.5	15	-	5	-	1	In		98.3		98	2							No		4,578	*
16		15	-	6	-	0	In		96.0		96	4	0						No		78,806
		14	-	5	-	2	In		95.4		95	5							No		369
15	.5	14	-	6	-	1	In		93.3		93	7	0						No		11,737	*
15		14	-	7	-	0	In		84.9		85	15	0						No		167,848
		13	-	6	-	2	In		83.2		83	16	1						No		791
14	.5	13	-	7	-	1	In		77.2		77	22	1	0					No		23,499
		12	-	6	-	3	In		83.3		83	17							No		36
14		13	-	8	-	0	In		58.4		58	37	4	0					No		293,241
		12	-	7	-	2	In		54.4		54	40	6						No		1,509	*
13	.5	12	-	8	-	1	In		44.3		44	47	8	0					No		38,428
		11	-	7	-	3	In		35.5		35	56	8						No		62
13		12	-	9	-	0	100.0	%	21.3		21	51	25	3	0				No		424,074
		11	-	8	-	2	100.0		17.1		17	50	30	3	0				No		2,322	*
12	.5	11	-	9	-	1	99.8		10.3		10	46	37	7	0	0			No		51,870
		10	-	8	-	3	In		7.1		7	41	42	9					No		85
12		11	-	10	-	0	96.6		1.5		1	21	48	27	3	0	0		0.0	%	508,922
		10	-	9	-	2	95.6		0.6		1	15	49	31	4	0			No		2,812
11	.5	10	-	10	-	1	89.9		0.1		0	8	40	42	10	0			No		55,895
		9	-	9	-	3	83.7		No			3	39	41	16				No		104
11		10	-	11	-	0	55.0		No			1	12	43	37	7	0		0.2		509,119
		9	-	10	-	2	47.0		No			0	7	40	43	10	0		0.4		2,809	*
10	.5	9	-	11	-	1	30.7		No			0	3	28	49	19	1		1.2		51,201
		8	-	10	-	3	20.2		No					20	56	20	3		3.4		89
10		9	-	12	-	0	5.5		No			0	0	5	32	46	15	1	16.3		424,902
		8	-	11	-	2	3.3		No				0	3	29	48	19	1	20.3		2,287	*
9	.5	8	-	12	-	1	1.5		No				0	1	18	48	29	3	32.3		38,405
		7	-	11	-	3	Out		No						19	36	40	5	44.8		58
9		8	-	13	-	0	0.1		No					0	4	29	50	18	67.7		294,179
		7	-	12	-	2	0.1		No					0	3	25	51	21	71.5		1,504	*
8	.5	7	-	13	-	1	0.0		No					0	1	17	52	29	81.5		23,850	*
8		7	-	14	-	0	0.0		No					0	0	5	40	55	94.9		168,216
		6	-	13	-	2	Out		No						0	4	40	55	95.5		861
7	.5	6	-	14	-	1	Out		No						0	2	30	68	97.9		11,581	*
7		6	-	15	-	0	Out		No						0	0	16	84	99.7		78,409
		5	-	14	-	2	Out		No								18	82	Yes		339	*
6	.5	5	-	15	-	1	Out		No							0	9	91	99.9		4,743	*
6		5	-	16	-	0	Out		No							0	4	96	100.0		29,660
		4	-	15	-	2	Out		No								3	97	Yes		123
5	.5	4	-	16	-	1	Out		No								3	97	Yes		1,481	*
5		4	-	17	-	0	Out		No								1	99	Yes		8,697	*
4	.5	3	-	17	-	1	Out		No								1	99	Yes		351
4		3	-	18	-	0	Out		No								0	100	Yes		1,966	*
1	-3.5						Out		No									100	Yes		1,468	*

Total:							59.6	%	17.5	%	17	15	14	13	12	11	10	8	17.9	%	3,366,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
Team ZoomerBee 145.7 North Bay Batta 84.5	-0.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
I Pucked Your S vs Team ZoomerBee	+0.5-0.1-0.5
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need	-0.0-0.1+0.0
Montreal Is Rig vs Kebab Removal U	+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
Minnesota Stars vs Team ZoomerBee	+0.5-0.1-0.5
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need	+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

18.5	-22						100
18		17	-	4	-	0	100	0
		16	-	3	-	2	100
17	.5	16	-	4	-	1	100	0
17		16	-	5	-	0	99	1
		15	-	4	-	2	100
16	.5	15	-	5	-	1	98	2
16		15	-	6	-	0	96	4	0
		14	-	5	-	2	95	5
15	.5	14	-	6	-	1	93	7	0
15		14	-	7	-	0	85	15	0
		13	-	6	-	2	83	16	1
14	.5	13	-	7	-	1	77	22	1	0
		12	-	6	-	3	83	17
14		13	-	8	-	0	58	37	4	0
		12	-	7	-	2	54	40	6
13	.5	12	-	8	-	1	44	47	8	0
		11	-	7	-	3	35	56	8
13		12	-	9	-	0	21	51	25	3	0
		11	-	8	-	2	17	50	30	3	0
12	.5	11	-	9	-	1	10	46	37	7	0	0
		10	-	8	-	3	7	41	42	9
12		11	-	10	-	0	1	21	48	27	3	0	0
		10	-	9	-	2	1	15	49	31	4	0
11	.5	10	-	10	-	1	0	8	40	42	10	0
		9	-	9	-	3		3	39	41	16
11		10	-	11	-	0		1	12	43	37	7	0
		9	-	10	-	2		0	7	40	43	10	0
10	.5	9	-	11	-	1		0	3	28	49	19	1
		8	-	10	-	3				20	56	20	3
10		9	-	12	-	0		0	0	5	32	46	15	1
		8	-	11	-	2			0	3	29	48	19	1
9	.5	8	-	12	-	1			0	1	18	48	29	3
		7	-	11	-	3					19	36	40	5
9		8	-	13	-	0				0	4	29	50	18
		7	-	12	-	2				0	3	25	51	21
8	.5	7	-	13	-	1				0	1	17	52	29
8		7	-	14	-	0				0	0	5	40	55
		6	-	13	-	2					0	4	40	55
7	.5	6	-	14	-	1					0	2	30	68
7		6	-	15	-	0					0	0	16	84
		5	-	14	-	2							18	82
6	.5	5	-	15	-	1						0	9	91
6		5	-	16	-	0						0	4	96
		4	-	15	-	2							3	97
5	.5	4	-	16	-	1							3	97
5		4	-	17	-	0							1	99
4	.5	3	-	17	-	1							1	99
4		3	-	18	-	0							0	100
1	-3.5													100

Total:							17	15	14	13	12	11	10	8