Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Team Don't Need This Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Plays at Montreal Is Rig, playoff odds up 0.06 to 41.1%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Team Don't Need 142.5 Montreal Is Rig 231.1	-8.5		-4.0		+6.7		-0.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need	-8.5-4.3+8.6		-3.0-1.9+3.0		+7.9+2.3-8.0		-0.5-0.2+0.5
I Pucked Your S vs Team ZoomerBee	*-0.1-1.9+0.1		+0.2*-0.6-0.2		+0.4+1.5-0.4		-0.0-0.1+0.0
North Bay Batta vs Minnesota Stars			+0.3-0.8-0.3		+0.5+1.6-0.5		-0.0-0.1+0.0
Montreal Is Rig vs Kebab Removal U			-0.1*-0.2+0.1		-0.2*+0.0+0.2

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need	-8.5-3.5+8.6		-3.1-1.7+3.1		+7.7+2.2-7.8		-0.5-0.2+0.5
Minnesota Stars vs Team ZoomerBee			-0.1-0.7+0.1		-0.2+1.1+0.2		+0.0-0.1-0.0
Columbus Foxes vs Montreal Is Rig			+0.2*-0.3-0.2		+0.4*-0.2-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Team Don't Need finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Lottery		Count

17.5	-20						In		Yes		100								No		1,736	*
17		17	-	3	-	0	In		99.7	%	100	0							No		3,274	*
16	.5	16	-	3	-	1	In		98.9		99	1							No		570	*
16		16	-	4	-	0	In		98.4		98	2							No		14,274
		15	-	3	-	2	In		Yes		100								No		43
15	.5	15	-	4	-	1	In		94.7		95	5	0						No		2,319	*
15		15	-	5	-	0	In		92.1		92	8	0						No		45,056
		14	-	4	-	2	In		91.0		91	9							No		178
14	.5	14	-	5	-	1	In		80.4		80	19	1	0					No		6,833	*
14		14	-	6	-	0	In		73.5		73	25	1	0					No		113,082
		13	-	5	-	2	In		71.4		71	27	1						No		469	*
13	.5	13	-	6	-	1	In		49.7		50	43	7	0					No		15,762	*
13		13	-	7	-	0	100.0	%	37.8		38	50	12	1	0				No		225,152
		12	-	6	-	2	In		32.7		33	51	15	1					No		989
12	.5	12	-	7	-	1	99.9		13.1		13	48	34	5	0				No		29,454
		11	-	6	-	3	In		20.6		21	44	29	6					No		34
12		12	-	8	-	0	99.5		6.1		6	39	44	11	1	0			No		365,915
		11	-	7	-	2	99.4		4.9		5	33	48	13	1				No		1,686	*
11	.5	11	-	8	-	1	92.5		0.2		0	10	44	38	7	0			No		44,086
		10	-	7	-	3	91.2		No			21	40	31	7	1			No		68
11		11	-	9	-	0	81.5		0.0		0	3	30	48	17	1	0		0.0	%	487,290
		10	-	8	-	2	75.1		No			2	26	47	24	1			No		2,478	*
10	.5	10	-	9	-	1	36.5		No			0	4	32	48	15	1		0.7		53,624
		9	-	8	-	3	33.3		No				6	28	54	12			No		90
10		10	-	10	-	0	17.7		No			0	1	17	48	31	4	0	3.8		536,595
		9	-	9	-	2	12.8		No				1	12	44	37	6	0	6.1		2,669	*
9	.5	9	-	10	-	1	2.0		No				0	2	21	49	25	2	27.2		53,491
		8	-	9	-	3	Out		No						24	56	16	4	20.3		79
9		9	-	11	-	0	0.5		No				0	0	11	43	39	7	46.2		487,865
		8	-	10	-	2	0.1		No					0	8	38	45	8	53.6		2,442	*
8	.5	8	-	11	-	1	0.0		No					0	2	21	52	25	77.4		43,445
		7	-	10	-	3	Out		No							18	51	32	82.5		57
8		8	-	12	-	0	0.0		No					0	0	11	49	39	88.1		365,119
		7	-	11	-	2	Out		No						0	9	48	43	91.0		1,733	*
7	.5	7	-	12	-	1	Out		No						0	3	35	62	97.1		29,517
		6	-	11	-	3	Out		No								21	79	Yes		39
7		7	-	13	-	0	Out		No						0	1	25	74	98.8		224,661
		6	-	12	-	2	Out		No							1	20	79	99.1		1,032
6	.5	6	-	13	-	1	Out		No							0	13	87	99.8		15,894	*
6		6	-	14	-	0	Out		No							0	7	93	100.0		112,672
		5	-	13	-	2	Out		No								8	92	Yes		522
5	.5	5	-	14	-	1	Out		No								3	97	Yes		6,732	*
5		5	-	15	-	0	Out		No								2	98	Yes		45,320
		4	-	14	-	2	Out		No								1	99	Yes		189
4	.5	4	-	15	-	1	Out		No								1	99	Yes		2,243	*
4		4	-	16	-	0	Out		No								0	100	Yes		14,194
		3	-	15	-	2	Out		No									100	Yes		43
3	.5	3	-	16	-	1	Out		No									100	Yes		560
3		3	-	17	-	0	Out		No								0	100	Yes		3,355	*
0	-2.5						Out		No									100	Yes		1,806	*

Total:							41.1	%	8.1	%	8	10	11	12	13	14	15	17	31.9	%	3,366,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
Team Don't Need 142.5 Montreal Is Rig 231.1	+0.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need	+0.5+0.2-0.5
I Pucked Your S vs Team ZoomerBee	+0.0+0.1-0.0
North Bay Batta vs Minnesota Stars	+0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need	+0.5+0.2-0.5
Minnesota Stars vs Team ZoomerBee	-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

17.5	-20						100
17		17	-	3	-	0	100	0
16	.5	16	-	3	-	1	99	1
16		16	-	4	-	0	98	2
		15	-	3	-	2	100
15	.5	15	-	4	-	1	95	5	0
15		15	-	5	-	0	92	8	0
		14	-	4	-	2	91	9
14	.5	14	-	5	-	1	80	19	1	0
14		14	-	6	-	0	73	25	1	0
		13	-	5	-	2	71	27	1
13	.5	13	-	6	-	1	50	43	7	0
13		13	-	7	-	0	38	50	12	1	0
		12	-	6	-	2	33	51	15	1
12	.5	12	-	7	-	1	13	48	34	5	0
		11	-	6	-	3	21	44	29	6
12		12	-	8	-	0	6	39	44	11	1	0
		11	-	7	-	2	5	33	48	13	1
11	.5	11	-	8	-	1	0	10	44	38	7	0
		10	-	7	-	3		21	40	31	7	1
11		11	-	9	-	0	0	3	30	48	17	1	0
		10	-	8	-	2		2	26	47	24	1
10	.5	10	-	9	-	1		0	4	32	48	15	1
		9	-	8	-	3			6	28	54	12
10		10	-	10	-	0		0	1	17	48	31	4	0
		9	-	9	-	2			1	12	44	37	6	0
9	.5	9	-	10	-	1			0	2	21	49	25	2
		8	-	9	-	3					24	56	16	4
9		9	-	11	-	0			0	0	11	43	39	7
		8	-	10	-	2				0	8	38	45	8
8	.5	8	-	11	-	1				0	2	21	52	25
		7	-	10	-	3						18	51	32
8		8	-	12	-	0				0	0	11	49	39
		7	-	11	-	2					0	9	48	43
7	.5	7	-	12	-	1					0	3	35	62
		6	-	11	-	3							21	79
7		7	-	13	-	0					0	1	25	74
		6	-	12	-	2						1	20	79
6	.5	6	-	13	-	1						0	13	87
6		6	-	14	-	0						0	7	93
		5	-	13	-	2							8	92
5	.5	5	-	14	-	1							3	97
5		5	-	15	-	0							2	98
		4	-	14	-	2							1	99
4	.5	4	-	15	-	1							1	99
4		4	-	16	-	0							0	100
		3	-	15	-	2								100
3	.5	3	-	16	-	1								100
3		3	-	17	-	0							0	100
0	-2.5													100

Total:							8	10	11	12	13	14	15	17