SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

North Bay Battalion Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Plays Team ZoomerBee, playoff odds up 0.07 to 44%

0-1-0 .000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Team ZoomerBee 145.7 North Bay Batta 84.5	-8.3		-4.3		+6.4		-0.5
Columbus Foxes 172.4 Kebab Removal U 219.5			-0.1		-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
North Bay Batta vs Minnesota Stars	+8.4+1.3-8.4		+3.7*-0.2-3.7		-7.0-2.2+7.0		+0.5+0.1-0.5
Montreal Is Rig vs Kebab Removal U	+0.1*+0.9-0.1		-0.1*+0.5+0.1		-0.2*-0.3+0.2
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need			+0.1+0.6-0.1		+0.2-1.3-0.2		-0.0+0.1+0.0
I Pucked Your S vs Team ZoomerBee			+0.2*+0.0-0.2		+0.3*-0.3-0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
I Pucked Your S vs North Bay Batta	-8.5+1.2+8.5		-3.3*-0.3+3.3		+7.5-1.8-7.5		-0.5+0.1+0.5
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need	-0.1+1.1*+0.1		-0.1*+0.3+0.1		-0.1-1.0+0.1		-0.0+0.1+0.0
Columbus Foxes vs Montreal Is Rig			+0.3*-0.1-0.3		+0.5*-0.3-0.5
Minnesota Stars vs Team ZoomerBee			-0.1*+0.3+0.1		-0.1*+0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the North Bay Batta finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Lottery		Count

17.5	-21						In		Yes		100								No		3,823	*
17		17	-	4	-	0	In		99.4	%	99	1							No		8,549
		16	-	3	-	2	In		Yes		100								No		36
16	.5	16	-	4	-	1	In		98.6		99	1							No		1,524	*
16		16	-	5	-	0	In		96.4		96	4	0						No		29,375
		15	-	4	-	2	In		95.9		96	4							No		121
15	.5	15	-	5	-	1	In		92.8		93	7							No		4,774	*
15		15	-	6	-	0	In		86.2		86	14	0	0					No		78,439
		14	-	5	-	2	In		82.8		83	17	1						No		343	*
14	.5	14	-	6	-	1	In		77.5		77	22	1						No		11,751	*
14		14	-	7	-	0	In		60.8		61	36	4	0					No		168,811
		13	-	6	-	2	In		54.5		54	40	5	0					No		828	*
13	.5	13	-	7	-	1	In		44.4		44	47	8	0					No		23,529
		12	-	6	-	3	In		46.3		46	46	5	2					No		41
13		13	-	8	-	0	100.0	%	23.6		24	52	23	2	0	0			No		294,238
		12	-	7	-	2	99.9		17.7		18	51	28	3	0				No		1,549	*
12	.5	12	-	8	-	1	99.8		10.2		10	46	37	7	0				No		38,367
		11	-	7	-	3	In		6.1		6	47	33	14					No		66
12		12	-	9	-	0	97.2		1.9		2	23	48	24	3	0	0		0.0	%	424,230
		11	-	8	-	2	95.4		0.8		1	16	46	32	4	0			No		2,313	*
11	.5	11	-	9	-	1	90.5		0.1		0	8	41	42	9	0	0		0.0		51,062
		10	-	8	-	3	88.6		No			8	35	45	11				No		88
11		11	-	10	-	0	59.1		No			1	14	45	35	6	0		0.2		509,417
		10	-	9	-	2	49.0		No			0	7	42	41	10	0		0.1		2,878	*
10	.5	10	-	10	-	1	31.6		No			0	3	28	49	18	1		1.1		56,431
		9	-	9	-	3	13.7		No				3	11	46	37	3		3.2		95
10		10	-	11	-	0	6.6		No			0	0	6	35	45	13	1	13.8		508,953
		9	-	10	-	2	3.2		No				0	3	29	48	19	1	20.3		2,777	*
9	.5	9	-	11	-	1	1.5		No				0	2	19	49	28	3	31.0		51,265
		8	-	10	-	3	Out		No						23	42	28	7	35.2		88
9		9	-	12	-	0	0.1		No				0	0	4	31	49	16	64.9		423,947
		8	-	11	-	2	Out		No						3	29	49	19	68.3		2,222	*
8	.5	8	-	12	-	1	0.0		No					0	1	19	52	28	80.1		38,074
		7	-	11	-	3	Out		No						3	18	47	32	78.3		60
8		8	-	13	-	0	Out		No						0	6	41	53	94.1		293,389
		7	-	12	-	2	Out		No						0	4	38	58	95.6		1,520	*
7	.5	7	-	13	-	1	Out		No						0	3	32	65	97.4		23,829
		6	-	12	-	3	Out		No								32	68	Yes		31
7		7	-	14	-	0	Out		No						0	0	17	83	99.5		168,157
		6	-	13	-	2	Out		No							0	15	84	99.6		781
6	.5	6	-	14	-	1	Out		No							0	11	89	99.8		11,923	*
6		6	-	15	-	0	Out		No							0	5	95	100.0		78,063
		5	-	14	-	2	Out		No								5	95	Yes		377
5	.5	5	-	15	-	1	Out		No								3	97	Yes		4,749	*
5		5	-	16	-	0	Out		No								1	99	Yes		29,673
		4	-	15	-	2	Out		No								1	99	Yes		111
4	.5	4	-	16	-	1	Out		No								0	100	Yes		1,466	*
4		4	-	17	-	0	Out		No								0	100	Yes		8,780
		3	-	16	-	2	Out		No									100	Yes		34
0	-3.5						Out		No									100	Yes		3,789	*

Total:							44.0	%	9.5	%	9	11	12	12	13	13	14	16	29.8	%	3,366,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
Team ZoomerBee 145.7 North Bay Batta 84.5	+0.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
North Bay Batta vs Minnesota Stars	-0.5-0.1+0.5
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need	+0.0-0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
I Pucked Your S vs North Bay Batta	+0.5-0.1-0.5
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need	+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

17.5	-21						100
17		17	-	4	-	0	99	1
		16	-	3	-	2	100
16	.5	16	-	4	-	1	99	1
16		16	-	5	-	0	96	4	0
		15	-	4	-	2	96	4
15	.5	15	-	5	-	1	93	7
15		15	-	6	-	0	86	14	0	0
		14	-	5	-	2	83	17	1
14	.5	14	-	6	-	1	77	22	1
14		14	-	7	-	0	61	36	4	0
		13	-	6	-	2	54	40	5	0
13	.5	13	-	7	-	1	44	47	8	0
		12	-	6	-	3	46	46	5	2
13		13	-	8	-	0	24	52	23	2	0	0
		12	-	7	-	2	18	51	28	3	0
12	.5	12	-	8	-	1	10	46	37	7	0
		11	-	7	-	3	6	47	33	14
12		12	-	9	-	0	2	23	48	24	3	0	0
		11	-	8	-	2	1	16	46	32	4	0
11	.5	11	-	9	-	1	0	8	41	42	9	0	0
		10	-	8	-	3		8	35	45	11
11		11	-	10	-	0		1	14	45	35	6	0
		10	-	9	-	2		0	7	42	41	10	0
10	.5	10	-	10	-	1		0	3	28	49	18	1
		9	-	9	-	3			3	11	46	37	3
10		10	-	11	-	0		0	0	6	35	45	13	1
		9	-	10	-	2			0	3	29	48	19	1
9	.5	9	-	11	-	1			0	2	19	49	28	3
		8	-	10	-	3					23	42	28	7
9		9	-	12	-	0			0	0	4	31	49	16
		8	-	11	-	2					3	29	49	19
8	.5	8	-	12	-	1				0	1	19	52	28
		7	-	11	-	3					3	18	47	32
8		8	-	13	-	0					0	6	41	53
		7	-	12	-	2					0	4	38	58
7	.5	7	-	13	-	1					0	3	32	65
		6	-	12	-	3							32	68
7		7	-	14	-	0					0	0	17	83
		6	-	13	-	2						0	15	84
6	.5	6	-	14	-	1						0	11	89
6		6	-	15	-	0						0	5	95
		5	-	14	-	2							5	95
5	.5	5	-	15	-	1							3	97
5		5	-	16	-	0							1	99
		4	-	15	-	2							1	99
4	.5	4	-	16	-	1							0	100
4		4	-	17	-	0							0	100
		3	-	16	-	2								100
0	-3.5													100

Total:							9	11	12	12	13	13	14	16