SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

North Bay Battalion Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Plays Team ZoomerBee, playoff odds up 0.7 to 30.5%

0-1-0 .000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
Team ZoomerBee 145.7 North Bay Batta 84.5	-8.3		-4.3		+6.4		-0.5
Columbus Foxes 172.4 Kebab Removal U 219.5			-0.2		-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
North Bay Batta vs Minnesota Stars	+8.6+2.5-6.2		+2.2*+0.0-1.6		-8.4-3.8+6.1		+0.5+0.2-0.3
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need	+0.1+1.3-0.1		+0.0*+0.1-0.0		+0.1-2.3-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0
Montreal Is Rig vs Kebab Removal U	+0.2*+0.5-0.2		-0.0+0.3+0.0		-0.1*-0.2+0.1
I Pucked Your S vs Team ZoomerBee			+0.2*+0.2-0.2		+1.1*+0.3-0.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery	100.0*	Average seed
I Pucked Your S vs North Bay Batta	-7.6+1.4+7.2		-1.5*-0.2+1.4		+8.9-3.1-8.4		-0.4+0.1+0.4
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need	-0.2+1.5+0.2		-0.1+0.3+0.2		-0.7-1.4+1.0		+0.0+0.1-0.0
Columbus Foxes vs Montreal Is Rig	+0.2+1.0-0.1		+0.3*+0.2-0.2		+1.2-1.2-0.9		-0.0+0.1+0.0
Minnesota Stars vs Team ZoomerBee	+0.2*+0.0-0.2		-0.1*+0.1+0.1		-0.2*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the North Bay Batta finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Lottery		Count

18.5	-21						In		Yes		100								No		3,571	*
18		18	-	3	-	0	In		99.8	%	100	0							No		1,729	*
17	.5	17	-	3	-	1	In		Yes		100								No		361
17		17	-	4	-	0	In		97.9		98	2							No		9,322	*
16	.5	16	-	4	-	1	In		96.5		96	4							No		1,736	*
16		16	-	5	-	0	In		92.3		92	8	0						No		36,769	*
15	.5	15	-	5	-	1	In		87.1		87	13	0						No		6,437	*
15		15	-	6	-	0	In		75.4		75	23	1	0					No		113,991
		14	-	5	-	2	In		72.4		72	26	1						No		522
14	.5	14	-	6	-	1	In		64.4		64	33	3	0					No		19,078	*
14		14	-	7	-	0	100.0	%	44.5		44	46	9	0	0				No		286,252
		13	-	6	-	2	In		38.8		39	50	11	0					No		1,387
13	.5	13	-	7	-	1	100.0		29.7		30	52	17	1	0				No		43,961	*
13		13	-	8	-	0	99.9		13.1		13	47	34	6	0	0			No		588,909
		12	-	7	-	2	99.8		8.9		9	43	40	8	0				No		3,185	*
12	.5	12	-	8	-	1	99.4		5.0		5	36	46	13	1				No		83,595	*
12		12	-	9	-	0	94.7		0.7		1	15	46	33	5	0			No		993,386
		11	-	8	-	2	92.3		0.3		0	10	42	40	7	0			No		5,376	*
11	.5	11	-	9	-	1	86.1		0.1		0	5	34	47	13	1	0		0.0	%	129,732
		10	-	8	-	3	84.9		No			3	28	53	15	0			No		218
11		11	-	10	-	0	55.3		No			0	11	44	38	7	0		0.1		1,394,415
		10	-	9	-	2	46.3		No			0	7	39	44	9	0		0.2		7,622	*
10	.5	10	-	10	-	1	33.0		No			0	3	30	49	17	1		0.8		166,787
		9	-	9	-	3	24.8		No				1	24	50	24	1		1.4		278
10		10	-	11	-	0	8.3		No			0	0	8	40	42	10	0	9.8		1,629,295
		9	-	10	-	2	6.0		No				0	6	35	47	12	0	12.0		9,165	*
9	.5	9	-	11	-	1	2.6		No				0	3	27	50	20	1	21.1		177,549
		8	-	10	-	3	2.0		No					2	23	48	26	2	27.5		244
9		9	-	12	-	0	0.2		No				0	0	8	40	43	9	51.8		1,584,569
		8	-	11	-	2	0.2		No					0	6	38	45	11	55.8		8,744	*
8	.5	8	-	12	-	1	0.0		No					0	3	30	50	17	66.8		154,709
		7	-	11	-	3	Out		No						3	28	47	22	69.1		259
8		8	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0	0	12	50	38	87.6		1,278,313
		7	-	12	-	2	Out		No						0	11	49	40	88.9		6,626	*
7	.5	7	-	13	-	1	Out		No						0	7	44	49	93.2		111,716
		6	-	12	-	3	Out		No							4	33	63	95.9		171
7		7	-	14	-	0	Out		No						0	2	27	71	98.4		850,899
		6	-	13	-	2	Out		No							2	27	72	98.3		4,363	*
6	.5	6	-	14	-	1	Out		No						0	1	20	79	99.3		64,686	*
6		6	-	15	-	0	Out		No							0	9	91	99.9		461,095
		5	-	14	-	2	Out		No							0	8	92	99.9		2,064	*
5	.5	5	-	15	-	1	Out		No							0	6	94	100.0		30,044	*
5		5	-	16	-	0	Out		No							0	2	98	100.0		200,446
		4	-	15	-	2	Out		No								2	98	Yes		772
4	.5	4	-	16	-	1	Out		No								1	99	Yes		10,994	*
4		4	-	17	-	0	Out		No								0	100	Yes		68,832
		3	-	16	-	2	Out		No									100	Yes		226
3	.5	3	-	17	-	1	Out		No								0	100	Yes		2,903	*
3		3	-	18	-	0	Out		No								0	100	Yes		17,737	*
0	-2.5						Out		No									100	Yes		7,568	*

Total:							30.5	%	3.6	%	4	6	9	12	14	17	18	20	38.4	%	10,582,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
Team ZoomerBee 145.7 North Bay Batta 84.5	+0.5
If winner is:HomeTieAway
North Bay Batta vs Minnesota Stars	-0.5-0.2+0.3
Columbus Foxes vs Team Don't Need	+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
I Pucked Your S vs North Bay Batta	+0.4-0.1-0.4
Kebab Removal U vs Team Don't Need	-0.0-0.1+0.0
Columbus Foxes vs Montreal Is Rig	+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

18.5	-21						100
18		18	-	3	-	0	100	0
17	.5	17	-	3	-	1	100
17		17	-	4	-	0	98	2
16	.5	16	-	4	-	1	96	4
16		16	-	5	-	0	92	8	0
15	.5	15	-	5	-	1	87	13	0
15		15	-	6	-	0	75	23	1	0
		14	-	5	-	2	72	26	1
14	.5	14	-	6	-	1	64	33	3	0
14		14	-	7	-	0	44	46	9	0	0
		13	-	6	-	2	39	50	11	0
13	.5	13	-	7	-	1	30	52	17	1	0
13		13	-	8	-	0	13	47	34	6	0	0
		12	-	7	-	2	9	43	40	8	0
12	.5	12	-	8	-	1	5	36	46	13	1
12		12	-	9	-	0	1	15	46	33	5	0
		11	-	8	-	2	0	10	42	40	7	0
11	.5	11	-	9	-	1	0	5	34	47	13	1	0
		10	-	8	-	3		3	28	53	15	0
11		11	-	10	-	0		0	11	44	38	7	0
		10	-	9	-	2		0	7	39	44	9	0
10	.5	10	-	10	-	1		0	3	30	49	17	1
		9	-	9	-	3			1	24	50	24	1
10		10	-	11	-	0		0	0	8	40	42	10	0
		9	-	10	-	2			0	6	35	47	12	0
9	.5	9	-	11	-	1			0	3	27	50	20	1
		8	-	10	-	3				2	23	48	26	2
9		9	-	12	-	0			0	0	8	40	43	9
		8	-	11	-	2				0	6	38	45	11
8	.5	8	-	12	-	1				0	3	30	50	17
		7	-	11	-	3					3	28	47	22
8		8	-	13	-	0				0	0	12	50	38
		7	-	12	-	2					0	11	49	40
7	.5	7	-	13	-	1					0	7	44	49
		6	-	12	-	3						4	33	63
7		7	-	14	-	0					0	2	27	71
		6	-	13	-	2						2	27	72
6	.5	6	-	14	-	1					0	1	20	79
6		6	-	15	-	0						0	9	91
		5	-	14	-	2						0	8	92
5	.5	5	-	15	-	1						0	6	94
5		5	-	16	-	0						0	2	98
		4	-	15	-	2							2	98
4	.5	4	-	16	-	1							1	99
4		4	-	17	-	0							0	100
		3	-	16	-	2								100
3	.5	3	-	17	-	1							0	100
3		3	-	18	-	0							0	100
0	-2.5													100

Total:							4	6	9	12	14	17	18	20