Barberless National Football League Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

Green Bay		13	-	1	-	0	.929	183	In			100	0															1.0		1	Green Bay Packers
New England		11	-	3	-	0	.786	140	In			66	26	7														1.4	+0.17	4	New England Patriots
New Orleans		11	-	3	-	0	.786	151	In				68	32		0												2.3	-0.13	7	New Orleans Saints
Houston		10	-	4	-	0	.714	107	In			9	21	70														2.6	+0.05	9	Houston Texans
San Francisco		11	-	3	-	0	.786	142	In			0	32	68														2.7	+0.16	3	San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore		10	-	4	-	0	.714	98	In			14	40	14		32	0											2.9	+0.54	5	Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh		10	-	4	-	0	.714	67	In			11	12	8		68	0											4.0	-0.75	2	Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta		9	-	5	-	0	.643	60	84.4	%	+0.0		0	0		55	29	15	1	0								5.6		10	Atlanta Falcons
Detroit		9	-	5	-	0	.643	63	82.4		-0.0					32	51	17	1									5.9		6	Detroit Lions
Dallas		8	-	6	-	0	.571	52	63.0		-0.0				63		0	6	9	10	8	5						5.8	-0.03	14	Dallas Cowboys
NY Jets		8	-	6	-	0	.571	31	50.7		+0.4					0	51	27	13	7	3							6.9		11	New York Jets
San Diego		7	-	7	-	0	.500	45	43.6		-0.0				44		0	1	9	20	21	5						7.0		16	San Diego Chargers
Cincinnati		8	-	6	-	0	.571	22	39.9		-0.4					0	40	43	10	5	3	0						6.9		15	Cincinnati Bengals
NY Giants		7	-	7	-	0	.500	-38	31.2		+0.1				31			1	9	28	11	14	4	1				7.9		17	New York Giants
Chicago		8	-	6	-	0	.571	28	30.3		-0.0					13	17	33	21	11	4	1						7.1		8	Chicago Bears
Denver		7	-	7	-	0	.500	-57	26.5		-0.0				22		4	7	11	17	20	11	7					8.1		13	Denver Broncos
Oakland		7	-	7	-	0	.500	-65	25.2		+0.1				22		3	8	14	22	7	14	9	2				8.2		12	Oakland Raiders
Kansas City		6	-	8	-	0	.429	-127	12.4		+0.0				12			0	2	10	11	26	19	14	6	1		10.4		19	Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia		6	-	8	-	0	.429	31	6.1		-0.0				6				1	9	14	41	23	4	2			10.6		20	Philadelphia Eagles
Seattle		7	-	7	-	0	.500	11	2.0		-0.0						2	19	34	18	18	9	1					8.6		18	Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee		7	-	7	-	0	.500	1	1.8		+0.0						2	14	42	18	18	6	1					8.6		22	Tennessee Titans
Arizona		7	-	7	-	0	.500	-32	0.6		+0.0					0	0	8	25	21	32	12	1					9.1		21	Arizona Cardinals
Carolina		5	-	9	-	0	.357	-27	Out											0	3	13	50	24	9			12.2		24	Carolina Panthers
Miami		5	-	9	-	0	.357	17	Out											1	8	20	29	22	15	4		12.2	-0.01	26	Miami Dolphins
Washington		5	-	9	-	0	.357	-48	Out											3	10	5	19	48	16			12.5		25	Washington Redskins
Buffalo		5	-	9	-	0	.357	-60	Out											1	8	15	20	33	21	2		12.5		28	Buffalo Bills
Tampa Bay		4	-	10	-	0	.286	-154	Out														3	23	73	0		13.7		23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland		4	-	10	-	0	.286	-79	Out													3	13	21	35	28		13.7		30	Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville		4	-	10	-	0	.286	-86	Out													0	3	9	23	65		14.5		27	Jacksonville Jaguars
Minnesota		2	-	12	-	0	.143	-112	Out																	68	32	15.3		29	Minnesota Vikings
St. Louis		2	-	12	-	0	.143	-180	Out																0	32	68	15.7		31	St. Louis Rams
Indianapolis		1	-	13	-	0	.071	-184	Out																		100	16.0		32	Indianapolis Colts

Week of 12/15
Atlanta 41 Jacksonville 14
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			-0.1
Atlanta	+16.7		+0.5
Detroit	-4.5		-0.2
Dallas	-0.6
NY Giants	-0.3		-0.0
Chicago	-10.1		-0.2
Kansas City			+0.1
Seattle	-0.7
Arizona	-0.4
Miami			+0.2
Buffalo			+0.1
Cleveland			+0.1
Jacksonville			-0.6

Dallas 31 Tampa Bay 15
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	-0.4
Detroit			-0.0
Dallas	+9.0		+0.7
NY Giants	-6.2		-0.3
Philadelphia	-2.3		-0.1
Seattle	-0.2
Arizona	+0.2		-0.1
Carolina			+0.1
Washington			+0.1
Tampa Bay			-0.4

San Francisco 20 Pittsburgh 3
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England			+0.2
New Orleans			-0.1
Houston			+0.0
San Francisco			+0.2
Baltimore			+0.5
Pittsburgh			-0.8
Dallas			-0.0
NY Jets	+0.4
Cincinnati	-0.4

Week of 12/22
NY Jets vs NY GiantsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	75.274.150.7		5.35.56.3
NY Jets	72.845.528.6		6.36.77.4
Cincinnati	23.049.056.6		7.16.86.7
NY Giants	12.425.950.0		9.27.96.5
Denver	24.123.628.9		8.38.38.0
Oakland	24.022.426.5		8.38.48.0
Philadelphia	12.3OutOut		10.110.911.0
Tennessee	0.23.23.4		8.78.68.5
Arizona	0.0Out1.1		9.19.09.2

Detroit vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	77.676.791.3		5.85.85.4
Detroit	93.990.470.9		5.65.66.2
NY Jets	52.753.848.7
San Diego	37.237.950.0		7.57.46.5
Chicago	27.932.432.6		7.27.27.0
Denver	32.833.020.1		7.77.78.5
Oakland	22.222.028.3		8.38.48.0
Seattle	0.0Out4.0

Cincinnati vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets	36.647.364.7		7.06.96.7
Cincinnati	60.245.819.5		6.46.77.4
Denver	24.123.228.9		8.38.38.0
Oakland	23.2*25.027.3		8.28.18.1
Tennessee	0.03.33.6		8.68.58.6
Arizona	OutOut1.1		9.68.98.6

Green Bay vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	92.189.576.7		5.45.55.8
Detroit	94.887.870.1		5.75.86.0
Chicago	10.022.350.6		7.97.16.4

Buffalo vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets	54.954.046.5		6.76.77.0
San Diego	49.837.137.3		6.67.37.4
Cincinnati	41.042.038.6		6.86.87.0
Denver	7.9*26.045.1		9.57.86.7
Oakland	32.3*26.518.2		7.88.08.5
Tennessee			8.48.98.8
Buffalo			11.712.613.2

Kansas City vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets	52.852.548.5		6.86.76.9
Denver	29.824.723.2		8.08.38.2
Oakland	7.236.643.2		9.67.66.8
Kansas City	24.9OutOut		8.710.512.2
Buffalo			12.612.812.3

New Orleans vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	71.989.896.9		6.05.65.2
Detroit	80.389.984.5		5.75.66.0
Chicago	45.017.015.6		6.97.47.4

Dallas vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	75.974.950.0		4.95.16.8
NY Giants	24.825.137.7		8.18.17.6
Philadelphia	OutOut12.3		11.511.09.7
Arizona	1.1Out0.0		9.29.39.1

Tennessee vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets	45.055.956.3		7.06.86.7
Cincinnati	45.833.234.0		6.97.16.9
Tennessee	3.62.4Out		8.08.69.2
Jacksonville			14.914.314.1

Seattle vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	86.581.882.4
Detroit	80.484.584.5
Chicago	27.933.032.6		7.46.96.9
Seattle	4.0OutOut		8.08.99.1

Baltimore vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Baltimore			2.23.63.6
Pittsburgh			4.63.53.5
NY Jets	52.9*52.448.4
Cincinnati	37.6*38.542.1
Cleveland			14.314.313.2

Pittsburgh vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Baltimore			3.43.42.4
Pittsburgh			3.43.64.7

New England vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England			1.11.31.7
Miami			13.012.611.5
Buffalo			12.312.212.7
Cleveland			13.514.013.9

Washington vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			12.412.512.0
Washington			11.812.413.1

Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			11.812.412.7
Tampa Bay			14.013.913.4

Indianapolis vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston			2.92.62.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Barberless National Football League Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

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