"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Figueirense 1 America-MG 2 No
Internacional 1 Vila Nova 1 No
-2.3
-0.1
Goias 0 Ceara 0 +0.4
Parana 2 Luverdense 0 -2.7
-0.1
Juventude 0 Oeste 0 +0.6
+0.1
Vila Nova 1 Figueirense 1 -2.2
-0.2
Ceara 2 Paysandu 0 -0.8
Santa Cruz 0 Parana 0 +0.2
Nautico 1 Londrina 2 -0.2
-0.1
Londrina 1 Guarani 0 -0.1
-0.1
Oeste 0 Internacional 0 -0.0
America-MG 1 Juventude 0 +0.1
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
ABC 2 Oeste 0 +0.6
+0.2
CRB 0 Parana 1 No
Nautico 1 Vila Nova 2 +0.5
+0.3
Londrina 0 America-MG 0 +0.3
+0.0
Juventude 0 Figueirense 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs Londrina+1.0-0.5-0.7
Oeste vs Goias-0.2+0.0+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
611-0-0NoNo100No19,413,977
590-0-1NoNo5248No11,876,695
580-1-0NoNo2872No18,205,488
Total:NoNo392338No49,496,160
Points
Chance Will Win Championship