"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
America-MG 1 Juventude 0 -13.6
-0.1
Figueirense 1 America-MG 2 -11.4
-0.1
Oeste 0 Internacional 0 -9.2
Yes
-0.1
Internacional 1 Vila Nova 1 -8.6
+0.1
-0.1
Goias 0 Ceara 0 +2.3
+0.1
+0.1
Ceara 2 Paysandu 0 -0.7
-0.2
-0.1
Santa Cruz 0 Parana 0 +0.3
+0.2
+0.1
Parana 2 Luverdense 0 -0.3
-0.3
Juventude 0 Oeste 0 +0.1
+0.2
Londrina 1 Guarani 0 -0.1
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Goias 0 Internacional 2 +7.0
+0.3
Londrina 0 America-MG 0 +3.9
+0.0
Criciuma 1 Ceara 1 +0.5
+0.2
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
America-MG vs CRBNo+28.9+28.9
-0.2+0.3+0.3
Internacional vs Guarani+21.4NoNo
+0.2-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Internacional finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
711-0-046.0%Yes4654No26,461,834
68-69NoYes100No23,034,326*
Total:24.6%Yes2575No49,496,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship