How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs Bragantino-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.4-1.5+5.8
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Bragantino vs Luverdense+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Criciuma vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.2+0.1
Nautico vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Ceara vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Tupi vs Goias*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Luverdense vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Atletico GO-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.4+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Parana vs Bahia-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
CRB vs Ceara*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Criciuma vs Goias-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Ceara vs Atletico GO-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Tupi-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Bahia vs Joinville-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Tupi vs Paysandu*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Atletico GO vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Londrina*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Nautico*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Parana*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Avai vs Sampaio Correa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Oeste vs CRB*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bragantino finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
87-114YesYes100No2,637*
8627-6-599.5%Yes991No191*
84-85YesYes100No861*
8326-7-599.9Yes1000No923*
8225-6-7YesYes100No1,476*
8125-7-699.5Yes991No2,176*
8025-8-599.7Yes1000No3,337*
7924-7-799.4Yes991No5,083*
7824-8-699.0Yes9910No7,659*
7723-7-898.5Yes9820No11,027*
7623-8-797.4Yes9730No15,724*
7523-9-696.3Yes9640No21,974*
7422-8-894.3Yes9460No30,697*
7322-9-791.7Yes92800No41,171*
7222-10-688.4Yes881100No55,641*
7121-9-884.0Yes841510No73,879*
7021-10-777.9100.0%7820200No96,223*
6920-9-970.5100.07026300No122,764*
6820-10-861.6100.06232600No155,634*
6720-11-751.499.95138101000No194,106*
6619-10-941.099.8414115200No237,563*
6519-11-830.199.43043225100No290,090*
6419-12-720.398.1204029102000No344,824*
6318-11-912.395.21233331641000No406,735*
6218-12-86.389.262435249200No470,351*
6118-13-72.778.331530301651000No538,277*
6017-12-91.061.6182231241130000No607,193*
5917-13-80.241.70313263019720000No673,230*
5816-12-100.022.50151628271651000No736,260*
5716-13-90.09.000271928251341000No795,371*
5616-14-80.02.5000292128231131000No845,750*
5515-13-10No0.50003102228221031000No885,727*
5415-14-9No0.00013112328211030000No914,417*
5315-15-8No0.00013112328219300000.0%932,773*
5214-14-10No0.000014122328219200000.0935,448*
5114-15-9NoNo0001412242820920000.0925,440*
5014-16-8NoNo0001413242820820000.3900,602*
4913-15-10NoNo0001414252819720001.7866,497*
4813-16-9NoNo0000151527281761007.1817,635*
4713-17-8NoNo000161828271441019.2762,201*
4612-16-10NoNo000028213025112038.2700,588*
4512-17-9NoNo00003122631217159.1630,681*
4412-18-8NoNo0001517313014276.8560,859*
4311-17-10NoNo00029243524688.7492,991*
4211-18-9NoNo00141634331295.2424,803*
4111-19-8NoNo0021029402098.2358,710*
4010-18-10NoNo001521433099.4301,392*
3910-19-9NoNo00214414299.8247,052*
3810-20-8NoNo00193753100.0198,630*
379-19-10NoNo0053164100.0157,433*
369-20-9NoNo0032573100.0123,571*
359-21-8NoNo0011880100.093,877*
348-20-10NoNo011486Yes70,807*
338-21-9NoNo00990Yes52,452*
328-22-8NoNo0693Yes38,293*
317-21-10NoNo0496Yes26,853*
307-22-9NoNo0397Yes18,696*
297-23-8NoNo298Yes12,743*
286-22-10NoNo0199Yes8,656*
276-23-9NoNo0199Yes5,601*
266-24-8NoNo0100Yes3,674*
255-23-10NoNo0100Yes2,187*
245-24-9NoNo0100Yes1,366*
235-25-8NoNo0100Yes787*
224-24-10NoNo100Yes490*
214-25-9NoNo199Yes256*
0-20NoNo100Yes2,745*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%19,265,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship