"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Bahia 3 Bragantino 2 +21.4
+0.8
Tupi 1 Nautico 4 -11.4
-0.2
Londrina 0 Avai 1 +2.9
-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas 1 CRB 0 +2.1
+0.0
Criciuma 1 Vasco da Gama 0 +0.8
+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Atletico GO vs Bahia-9.4YesYes
-0.6-0.2+0.8
Nautico vs Oeste-9.4YesYes
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Ceara-8.7+4.7Yes
-0.4+0.2+0.2
Avai vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Bahia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
661-0-0NoYes6238No5,376,331
640-0-1NoYes6238No3,392,476
630-1-0No84.9%374815No5,371,513
Total:No94.3%2444276No14,140,320
Points
Chance Will Win Championship