"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/21100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico GO 3 Oeste 1 +14.6
-1.0
Macae 1 Boa 1 -2.6
+0.1
America MG 1 Ceara 1 -1.4
+0.1
Paysandu PA 1 Criciuma 0 +0.1
Parana 0 Bragantino 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 11/28100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Paysandu PANoNo+27.6
+1.3-0.2-0.7
Ceara vs Macae+8.5+22.5No
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Atletico GO+0.2-0.1-0.1
Criciuma vs CRB-0.1-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Oeste finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
461-0-0NoNo1341379No14,520,120
440-0-1NoNo100No11,723,437
430-1-0NoNo495151.3%22,609,403
Total:NoNo41211492423.7%48,852,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship