"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG 3 Coritiba 0 +1.4
Santos 1 Gremio 0 No
Sao Paulo 0 Botafogo 0 +0.1
Flamengo 3 Corinthians 0 -0.1
Atletico-PR 3 Vasco da Gama 1 -0.1
Sport Recife 1 Bahia 0 +0.1
Fluminense 2 Ponte Preta 0 -0.1
Atletico-GO 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.0
Week of 11/25100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Corinthians 2 Atletico-MG 2 -0.5
Cruzeiro 0 Vasco da Gama 1 -0.2
Avai 1 Atletico-PR 0 +0.2
Palmeiras 2 Botafogo 0 +0.2
Flamengo 1 Santos 2 +0.1
Coritiba 1 Sao Paulo 2 -0.1
Fluminense 1 Sport Recife 2 +0.1
Bahia 0 Chapecoense 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 12/3100.0*Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG vs Gremio+2.0-0.7-1.5
Sao Paulo vs Bahia-0.2+0.5-0.2
Chapecoense vs Coritiba-0.3+0.1+0.3
Botafogo vs Cruzeiro-0.2+0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Flamengo+0.2-0.1-0.2
Atletico-PR vs Palmeiras-0.2+0.1+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Ponte Preta-0.2+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-MG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
541-0-0NoNo113336173No5,849,154
520-0-1NoNo94447No3,730,600
510-1-0NoNo155629No5,846,966
Total:NoNo412149173311No15,426,720
Points
Chance Will Win Championship