Penguins Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Beat Avalanche 2-1, playoff odds up 5.6 to 36.1%
4 points   2-1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Senators vs Penguins-21.9+21.9
-0.7+0.7
Sharks vs Leafs-9.4+9.4
-0.1+0.1
Flames vs Avalanche-9.4+9.4
-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456Count
82-0-091.0%7516903,567,931
61-1-026.7027601217,132,672
40-2-0Out485113,570,389
Total:36.1%19173327314,270,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Senators vs Penguins+0.8-0.8
Flames vs Avalanche+0.2-0.2
Sharks vs Leafs+0.1-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456
82-0-075169
61-1-00276113
40-2-07525
Total:191733256