Flames Playoff Chances 2012-2013 50/50

Beat Leafs 10-0, playoff odds up 19.9 to 50%
4 points   2-1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flames vs Avalanche+12.5-12.5
+0.4-0.4
Sharks vs Leafs-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456Count
82-0-0100.0%366403,569,920
61-1-050.06444917,130,744
40-2-0Out1966163,570,328
Total:50.0%12382916414,270,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Flames vs Avalanche-0.5+0.5
Sharks vs Leafs+0.1-0.1
Senators vs Penguins-0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456
82-0-036640
61-1-064450
40-2-0135037
Total:123828139