Avalanche Playoff Chances 2012-2013

Lost to Penguins 1-2, playoff odds down 6 to 0%
1 points   0-2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Average seed
Flames vs Avalanche-0.2+0.8
Senators vs Penguins-0.1+0.0
Sharks vs Leafs+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Avalanche finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456Count
52-0-0Out3430351,837,294
31-1-0Out0207909,710,692
10-2-0Out4963,929,006
Total:Out417542415,476,992
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Flames vs Avalanche+0.2-1.0
Senators vs Penguins+0.1-0.1
Sharks vs Leafs-0.0+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456
52-0-039602
31-1-025750
10-2-0100
Total:5234725