Sharks Playoff Chances 2012-2013

Beat Wild 5-3, playoff odds up 24 to 29.9%
2 points   1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche vs Sharks-27.6+57.2
-0.3+0.7
Avalanche vs Flames-9.7+3.5
-0.1+0.0
Bruins vs Sharks-9.3+1.6
-0.4+0.1
Avalanche vs Wild-2.0+8.5
+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-Lplayoffs12345Count
62-091.2%68595,725,414
41-17.508875012,867,458
20-2Out514372,110,128
Total:29.9%228628120,703,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Sharks+0.4-0.7
Bruins vs Sharks+0.8-0.1
Avalanche vs Wild-0.0+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L12345
62-06859
41-1088760
20-2174735
Total:2285884