Flames Playoff Chances 2012-2013

Beat Bruins 6-0, playoff odds up 20.4 to 97.7%
4 points   2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche vs Flames-6.0+2.2
-0.7+0.2
Avalanche vs Sharks+1.2-2.4
-0.0+0.1
Bruins vs Sharks+0.7-0.1
Avalanche vs Wild+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-Lplayoffs12345Count
82-0In10013,949,437
61-197.2%326636,306,292
40-234.703534310447,271
Total:97.7%772121020,703,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Avalanche vs Flames+0.7-0.2
Avalanche vs Sharks+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L12345
82-0100
61-132663
40-203535300
Total:7721210