100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.Change
Green Bay1-0-01.000355454546532332333333333333322222214.0-2.51Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh1-0-01.000215544433254444333333333332222222114.2-2.26Pittsburgh Steelers
San Francisco1-0-01.00075454433343434433333333333222222114.4-2.11San Francisco 49ers
San Diego1-0-01.000215444433344434333333333333222222214.5-2.01San Diego Chargers
Tampa Bay1-0-01.000105443434343434443333333333222222114.5-1.99Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington1-0-01.000235443434343434433333333333322222214.6-1.92Washington Redskins
Cincinnati10-0-003333333234344343333333333333333316.4-0.13Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore10-0-003333332344344333333333333333333316.4-0.11Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland10-0-003333333334343333333333333333333316.4-0.09Cleveland Browns
St. Louis10-0-003333333333434444333333333333333316.5-0.03St. Louis Rams
Carolina10-0-003333333333334443333333333333333316.5-0.05Carolina Panthers
Jacksonville10-0-003333343433333333333333333333333316.5-0.05Jacksonville Jaguars
Buffalo10-0-003334344423332233333333333333333416.5-0.02Buffalo Bills
Indianapolis10-0-003333333433333333333333333333333316.5-0.02Indianapolis Colts
Dallas10-0-003333333333334343333333333333333316.5-0.01Dallas Cowboys
NY Jets10-0-003334344423332233333333333333333316.5New York Jets
Kansas City10-0-003333332334343333333333333333333316.5Kansas City Chiefs
Atlanta10-0-003333333233334433333333333333333316.5+0.03Atlanta Falcons
Houston10-0-003333343433332333333333333333333316.6+0.08Houston Texans
New Orleans10-0-003333333333333333333333333333333316.6+0.07New Orleans Saints
Arizona10-0-003333333333433333333333333333333316.6+0.06Arizona Cardinals
NY Giants10-0-003333333333333333333333333333333316.6+0.08New York Giants
Seattle10-0-003333333243333333333333333333333316.6+0.09Seattle Seahawks
Oakland10-0-003333333334343333333333333333333316.6+0.10Oakland Raiders
Denver10-0-003333332334343333333333333333333316.6+0.12Denver Broncos
Philadelphia10-0-003333333233333333333333333333333316.6+0.14Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit0-1-0.000-212223233422232233333333444444445518.5+1.99Detroit Lions
Miami0-1-0.000-232223233423232223333333444444445518.6+2.07Miami Dolphins
New England0-1-0.000-211223333412232333333333444444445518.6+2.10New England Patriots
Minnesota0-1-0.000-71222334422222333333333444444445518.6+2.11Minnesota Vikings
Chicago0-1-0.000-351222233322233333333344444444444518.6+2.11Chicago Bears
Tennessee0-1-0.000-102223232323232233333333444444445518.7+2.16Tennessee Titans

Lottery Big Games

Week of 9/13
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh-2.1
San Diego-0.1
Cleveland-0.0
Jacksonville+0.1
Houston+0.1
Arizona-0.1
NY Giants+0.1
Seattle-0.1
Oakland-0.1
Miami+0.0
New England+2.1
Tennessee+0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay-2.0
Washington-0.1
Jacksonville-0.1
Buffalo+0.0
Indianapolis-0.1
Atlanta+0.1
Houston-0.1
New Orleans+0.1
NY Giants-0.0
Oakland+0.0
Miami+0.0
Chicago-0.0
Tennessee+2.0
Washington 33 Miami 10
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington-2.0
Buffalo-0.1
NY Jets-0.1
NY Giants+0.1
Philadelphia+0.1
Miami+2.0
New England-0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay-0.1
San Diego-2.0
Baltimore-0.0
Kansas City+0.1
New Orleans+0.1
Seattle+0.0
Oakland+0.1
Denver+0.1
Detroit+2.0
San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco-2.1
Kansas City+0.1
Minnesota+2.1
Chicago-0.1
Chicago 7 Green Bay 42
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay-2.3
Tampa Bay+0.1
Washington+0.1
Carolina-0.1
Dallas-0.1
Chicago+2.3
Jacksonville vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina18.415.914.5
Jacksonville14.4*16.818.5
Arizona vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans18.717.614.5
Arizona14.516.218.6
Buffalo vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo14.313.318.6
Indianapolis18.6*15.814.3
Atlanta vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta14.4*15.518.7
Philadelphia18.8*16.414.5
Houston vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City18.615.714.4
Houston14.4*15.418.7
Oakland vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati18.516.214.3
Oakland14.516.418.7
NY Jets vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland18.516.914.4
NY Jets14.4*17.618.6
Denver vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore18.5*16.314.3
Denver14.5*16.418.7
Dallas vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas14.2*17.318.8
NY Giants18.8*15.714.3
St. Louis vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis14.2*15.718.7
Seattle18.914.514.3
Week of 9/20
Pittsburgh vs San FranciscoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh12.314.116.2
San Francisco16.4*15.712.4
Cleveland16.514.516.3
Dallas16.514.516.5
Minnesota18.620.818.6
Indianapolis vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay14.416.914.6
Indianapolis14.313.718.6
NY Jets18.7*13.514.3
Houston16.614.916.5
Tennessee18.720.418.6
Oakland vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco14.516.514.3
Baltimore18.5*15.814.3
Oakland14.517.518.7
Carolina vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina14.516.818.4
Houston18.617.014.5
Philadelphia16.618.916.7
Detroit18.516.418.5
Washington vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington12.5*13.116.6
St. Louis18.5*16.414.4
Cincinnati vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego16.613.112.4
Cincinnati14.3*17.018.5
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville14.3*15.118.6
Miami20.7*19.216.4
Green Bay vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay11.9*14.916.1
Seattle18.716.914.5
NY Giants vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta18.6*16.014.4
NY Giants14.4*16.618.7
Chicago vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona18.718.814.5
Chicago16.5*19.420.8
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City14.2*17.718.8
Denver18.9*16.414.3
Philadelphia vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas18.7*15.614.2
Philadelphia14.3*18.518.9
Buffalo vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo14.115.718.8
New England21.017.616.2
Minnesota vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit20.819.116.1
Minnesota16.3*18.621.0
Cleveland vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland14.3*16.618.5
Tennessee20.8*18.416.6
New Orleans vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay16.814.112.2
New Orleans14.3*16.418.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.