100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.Change
Green Bay1-0-01.0003510695959632322222222222222111111110.3-6.21Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh1-0-01.000218765543264544333332222222221111111.9-4.64Pittsburgh Steelers
Washington1-0-01.000238574635363534433333322222221111112.1-4.37Washington Redskins
San Diego1-0-01.000217665544354434333333322222222111112.4-4.12San Diego Chargers
Tampa Bay1-0-01.000106464535353434433333332222222211113.2-3.33Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco1-0-01.00075454534354434333333333322222221113.5-2.97San Francisco 49ers
Buffalo10-0-003444455622232222333333333333333315.7-0.78Buffalo Bills
NY Jets10-0-003344455622232222333333333333333315.8-0.74New York Jets
Houston10-0-003334343433332333333333333333333316.2-0.34Houston Texans
Indianapolis10-0-003334343433333333333333333333333316.2-0.33Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville10-0-003334343433333333333333333333333316.2-0.31Jacksonville Jaguars
St. Louis10-0-002333333233334444333333333333333316.7+0.18St. Louis Rams
Arizona10-0-003333333233333433333333333333333316.7+0.20Arizona Cardinals
Seattle10-0-003333333233433333333333333333333316.7+0.21Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans10-0-003333333233334444433333333333333316.7+0.21New Orleans Saints
Atlanta10-0-003333333233334444333333333333333316.7+0.25Atlanta Falcons
Carolina10-0-002333333233335444333443333333333316.7+0.23Carolina Panthers
Cleveland10-0-002323232234344444333343333333333316.7+0.25Cleveland Browns
Baltimore10-0-002323232234344444333343333333333316.7+0.24Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati10-0-002323232234344444333443333333333316.8+0.26Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City10-0-003323232234344444333333333333333316.8+0.28Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia10-0-003333323244434444433333333333333316.8+0.29Philadelphia Eagles
Oakland10-0-003323232244343333333333333333333316.8+0.30Oakland Raiders
Dallas10-0-002332322243434444333343333333333316.8+0.30Dallas Cowboys
Denver10-0-003323232244343333333333333333333316.8+0.31Denver Broncos
NY Giants10-0-003333323243434444333333333333333316.8+0.31New York Giants
Minnesota0-1-0.000-71122233422232333333334444444555519.4+2.93Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee0-1-0.000-101213132323232223333334444445555619.9+3.36Tennessee Titans
Miami0-1-0.000-231112132512131222333334444455566720.5+4.00Miami Dolphins
Detroit0-1-0.000-211112122312232223333334444455566720.8+4.27Detroit Lions
New England0-1-0.000-211112132511122222333334444455567820.9+4.44New England Patriots
Chicago0-1-0.000-350111112212222333333344444555667821.8+5.31Chicago Bears

Lottery Big Games

Week of 9/13
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh-2.4
San Diego-0.1
Houston+0.1
Arizona-0.1
Kansas City-0.1
Philadelphia+0.1
Dallas+0.1
Tennessee+0.1
New England+2.4
Chicago 7 Green Bay 42
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay-2.7
Washington+0.1
Carolina-0.1
Dallas-0.1
Chicago+2.7
Washington 33 Miami 10
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington-1.7
Tampa Bay-0.0
Buffalo-0.1
NY Jets-0.1
Houston+0.0
Carolina-0.0
Baltimore+0.0
Philadelphia+0.1
NY Giants+0.1
Miami+1.7
New England-0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay-1.7
San Francisco+0.0
Houston-0.1
Indianapolis-0.1
Jacksonville-0.1
St. Louis-0.0
New Orleans+0.1
Atlanta+0.1
Carolina+0.1
Dallas-0.0
Tennessee+1.7
Chicago-0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay-0.2
San Diego-1.7
Buffalo+0.0
Cleveland-0.0
Kansas City+0.1
Oakland+0.1
Denver+0.1
NY Giants-0.0
Detroit+1.7
San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco-1.8
St. Louis+0.0
Cleveland-0.1
Denver+0.1
Minnesota+1.8
Buffalo vs IndianapolisIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo13.916.418.2
Indianapolis18.015.113.7
NY Jets vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets13.9*15.318.2
Cleveland18.516.714.4
Houston vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston14.3*16.718.6
Kansas City18.5*16.814.4
Arizona vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona14.916.819.1
New Orleans18.516.814.4
Jacksonville vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville14.516.218.5
Carolina18.4*17.014.5
Denver vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore18.516.914.4
Denver15.0*17.119.2
Atlanta vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta15.0*17.219.1
Philadelphia18.616.914.4
Oakland vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati18.517.314.4
Oakland15.0*17.119.2
Dallas vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas14.9*17.419.3
NY Giants18.7*17.014.3
St. Louis vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis14.8*18.119.2
Seattle18.6*17.414.1
Week of 9/20
Carolina vs HoustonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston17.915.413.9
Carolina15.117.819.0
Indianapolis vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets17.614.513.3
Indianapolis14.316.318.6
Washington vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington10.612.014.5
St. Louis18.3*15.714.2
Cleveland vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland15.1*17.119.2
Tennessee21.6*18.617.3
Pittsburgh vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh10.412.414.0
San Francisco15.0*12.811.3
Oakland vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore18.5*16.714.4
Oakland15.0*16.519.2
Chicago vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona18.6*17.514.5
Chicago19.922.323.9
Cincinnati vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego14.2*12.210.3
Cincinnati14.8*18.319.0
Green Bay vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay8.810.412.6
Seattle18.316.214.1
New Orleans vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay15.212.710.7
New Orleans14.617.019.2
Buffalo vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo13.815.918.6
New England22.7*20.318.2
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville14.516.218.8
Miami22.1*19.817.9
NY Giants vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta18.5*16.314.4
NY Giants15.017.419.2
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City14.9*17.419.3
Denver18.7*16.114.2
Minnesota vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota17.6*19.222.1
Detroit22.620.418.1
Philadelphia vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia14.917.919.3
Dallas18.716.214.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.