Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Lost to Tampa Bay 14-24, playoff odds down 7.3 to 30.2%
0-1-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 -7.0
-0.8
Washington 33 Miami 10 +0.3
+0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.0
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Houston vs Kansas City-0.5+14.5+0.5
-0.0*+1.3+0.0
Jacksonville vs Carolina-1.0*+7.3+1.0
-0.1+0.5+0.1
Buffalo vs Indianapolis+0.7*-2.2-0.7
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Tennessee-8.0*+4.6+8.0
-1.1*-0.1+1.1
Carolina vs Houston+1.2*-4.3-1.2
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.8*-4.7+0.8
-0.0*-1.0+0.0
Indianapolis vs NY Jets-0.8*-4.4+0.8
-0.0*-0.9+0.0
Cincinnati vs San Diego-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1515-0-0In10030
1414-1-0In982105
1313-2-0In9550728
12.512-2-1In802010
1212-3-0In78171303,380
11.511-3-1In633824
1111-4-0100.0%423610111109,870
10.510-4-1In183616521485
1010-5-098.68272572481022,084
9.59-5-194.1212211923176188
99-6-074.2041418152417720036,443
8.58-6-139.13153192820930279
88-7-018.401101617242213510046,973
7.57-7-15.8602121931181020308
77-8-01.702003101925221341047,376
6-7-2Out1001
6.56-8-1Out131132291951258
66-9-00.10001514273018536,510
5.55-9-1Out16314220177
55-10-0Out01520413421,837
4-9-2Out1001
4.54-10-1Out6286694
44-11-0Out03237410,085
3.53-11-1Out118935
33-12-0Out06943,343
2.52-12-1Out1009
22-13-0Out199776
0-1.5Out100143*
Total:30.2%4556566666777789241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 +2.0
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 +0.1
Washington 33 Miami 10 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Arizona vs New Orleans+0.1+1.5-0.1
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.1-1.2-0.1
Atlanta vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Oakland vs Cincinnati-0.1*-1.4+0.1
Houston vs Kansas City-0.0*-3.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Tennessee+2.1*-0.3-2.1
Indianapolis vs NY Jets+0.0+1.7-0.0
Carolina vs Houston-0.1*+0.6+0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.8-0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.0*+1.7-0.0
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1515-0-0100
1414-1-09712
1313-2-0841150
12.512-2-1602020
1212-3-05128171130
11.511-3-12142334
1111-4-01131251191110110
10.510-4-12151819151411924
1010-5-008620151161131071100
9.59-5-12211101115410131256
99-6-000321299213101410952000
8.58-6-1341131181222131031
88-7-000119010625913141412841000
7.57-7-1601619191919831
77-8-0002000012581216171612731000
6-7-2100
6.56-8-10259192916145
66-9-0000024916212116830
5.55-9-1117252920152
55-10-00012819302813
4-9-2100
4.54-10-16194332
44-11-0001103553
3.53-11-12377
33-12-0011386
2.52-12-1100
22-13-0298
0-1.5100
Total:22232323232322333333334444444455