Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50Beat Tennessee 24-14, playoff odds up 7 to 44.4% 1-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | +7.0 | | +0.8 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.4 | | -0.0 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Jacksonville vs Carolina | +1.3*-3.8-1.3 | | +0.1*-0.4-0.1 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | -0.9*-3.8+0.9 | | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | -11.3*-0.9+11.4 | | -1.2+0.3+1.2 | | Carolina vs Houston | -1.2*+8.3+1.2 | | -0.1*+0.6+0.1 | | NY Giants vs Atlanta | +0.9*-6.8-0.9 | | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | +0.4*+0.6-0.4 | | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | | | +0.0*+0.6-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14.5 | -16 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 136 | * | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 731 | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 93 | 6 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,381 | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 86 | 7 | 4 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 73 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 10,060 | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 61 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 33 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 21,981 | | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 18 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 180 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 97.2 | | 5 | 20 | 26 | 10 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 36,282 | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 92.2 | | 0 | 12 | 26 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 243 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 62.0 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 22 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 47,388 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 33.2 | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 349 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 11.3 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 46,720 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | 2 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 3.1 | | | | | 3 | | | 1 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 3 | | | | 260 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36,743 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | 1 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 10 | 26 | 31 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 204 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 9 | 22,107 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 18 | 97 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 43 | 9,882 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 12 | 35 | 50 | 26 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 78 | 3,345 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | 14 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 733 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 123 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 44.4 | % | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 241,152 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | -2.0 | | Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 | +0.1 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Buffalo vs Indianapolis | +0.1-0.7-0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.1*+0.6+0.1 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | St. Louis vs Seattle | -0.1*+0.6+0.1 | | Houston vs Kansas City | -0.1*+1.6+0.1 | | Arizona vs New Orleans | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +2.3-0.5-2.3 | | Indianapolis vs NY Jets | -0.1+2.3+0.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | -0.0-1.0+0.0 | | NY Giants vs Atlanta | -0.1+0.7+0.1 | | Chicago vs Arizona | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | | Carolina vs Houston | +0.1*-1.3-0.1 | | Cleveland vs Tennessee | +0.0*+0.6-0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14.5 | -16 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 90 | | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 85 | 8 | 6 | | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 64 | 21 | 7 | | 4 | | | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 51 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 2 | 4 | | 1 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | 50 | | | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 4 | | 20 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 3 | 3 | 9 | | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 10 | 18 | 31 | 25 | 11 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 26 | 11 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 15 | 38 | 38 | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 49 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | 71 | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 86 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
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