Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 2015Beat Tennessee 24-14, playoff odds up 13.3 to 50.8% 1-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | +6.1 | | +0.7 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 | | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Jacksonville vs Carolina | +1.0*+4.3-1.3 | | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | -0.6*-0.8+0.8 | | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | | Arizona vs New Orleans | +0.5*+0.4-0.6 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | -10.4*+1.2+12.5 | | -1.1+0.4+1.3 | | Carolina vs Houston | -1.0*+1.3+1.4 | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | NY Giants vs Atlanta | +0.8*+2.6-1.0 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | +0.2*+1.5-0.4 | | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | | Chicago vs Arizona | +0.2*+5.7-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | | | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | | Washington vs St. Louis | | | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 15 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 537 | | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,429 | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 9 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 14,258 | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 83 | 15 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 68 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 39,774 | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 53 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | 359 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 29 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 82,430 | | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 13 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 638 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 97.1 | | 4 | 18 | 28 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 127,653 | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | | | 67 | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 91.4 | | 0 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 864 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 62.2 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 22 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 150,962 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 34.9 | | | | 3 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 932 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 11.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 139,018 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | In | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 3.0 | | | | | 3 | | 0 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | 730 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 98,261 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | 1 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 441 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 7 | 53,154 | | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 198 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 39 | 21,818 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 28 | 66 | 61 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 6,323 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | 71 | 14 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 95 | 1,243 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 173 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 63 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 50.8 | % | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 743,584 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | -1.7 | | Chicago 7 Green Bay 42 | +0.1 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | | Houston vs Kansas City | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | +0.1*-0.5-0.1 | | St. Louis vs Seattle | -0.0*+0.2+0.1 | | Buffalo vs Indianapolis | +0.0*+0.4-0.1 | | NY Jets vs Cleveland | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New Orleans vs Tampa Bay | +2.0-0.5-2.4 | | Cleveland vs Tennessee | +0.0-0.7-0.1 | | Washington vs St. Louis | +0.0-0.7-0.0 | | Carolina vs Houston | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | | NY Giants vs Atlanta | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Chicago vs Arizona | -0.1*-0.9+0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Miami | -0.0*+0.5+0.1 | | Indianapolis vs NY Jets | -0.0*+0.7+0.0 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | -0.0*-0.4+0.0 | | Cincinnati vs San Diego | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 82 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 74 | 9 | 15 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 47 | 21 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 27 | 25 | 35 | 2 | 3 | | 1 | | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 5 | | 14 | 3 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | 33 | 33 | | | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 1 | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 9 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 18 | 41 | 36 | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 47 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | 57 | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 96 | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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