Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Plays at St. Louis, playoff odds down 1.2 to 36.3%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 -0.8
-0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 -0.4
Washington 33 Miami 10 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
St. Louis vs Seattle-10.5*+11.1+10.5
-1.2+1.0+1.2
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Arizona vs New Orleans-0.0*-0.5+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs Seattle-8.6*-3.3+8.6
-1.1*-0.2+1.1
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco+1.2*+7.7-1.2
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Chicago vs Arizona+1.0*+7.1-1.0
+0.1*+0.7-0.1
Carolina vs Houston-0.4*-4.8+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-16In10085*
1414-2-0In991387
13.513-2-1In1005
1313-3-0In936002,086
12.512-3-1In94616
1212-4-0In732120406,636
11.511-4-1In45388964
1111-5-099.9%3536111151015,826
10-4-2In1001
10.510-5-1In1633161277135
1010-6-097.3621248261220029,203
9.59-6-190.9092612212372243
99-7-064.702101612242110310041,870
8.58-7-131.731221424261340322
88-8-012.701714132224179300047,208
7.57-8-11.0121019242713500288
77-9-01.00100271624241772041,995
6-8-2Out1001
6.56-9-1Out21023342371232
66-10-00.0001312243122729,189
5-9-2Out1001
5.55-10-1Out19333918147
55-11-0Out00417413715,879
4-10-2Out1001
4.54-11-1Out3306760
44-12-0Out00222766,637
3-11-2Out1001
3.53-12-1Out168425
33-13-0Out05942,078
2.52-13-1Out1004
22-14-0Out0100426
0-1.5Out100101*
Total:36.3%6665777666666666241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 +0.1
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 -0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 +0.0
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
St. Louis vs Seattle+2.3-2.1-2.3
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.1*-0.2+0.1
NY Jets vs Cleveland+0.1*+1.6-0.1
Arizona vs New Orleans-0.1*+0.9+0.1
Oakland vs Cincinnati+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Denver vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.0*+0.3-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Seattle+2.1+0.3-2.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.1-1.4-0.1
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-0.1*-0.9+0.1
Washington vs St. Louis+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tennessee-0.1*-1.1+0.1
Chicago vs Arizona-0.1*-1.8+0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore+0.0*-1.8-0.0
Carolina vs Houston-0.0*+0.4+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-16100
1414-2-09721
13.513-2-1100
1313-3-0867600
12.512-3-18866
1212-4-0512220120400
11.511-4-1232234389
1111-5-0112426101101014110
10-4-2100
10.510-5-1214191416112447
1010-6-00561515981179111200
9.59-6-1008101612081221372
99-7-000229962101112151262000
8.58-7-1034822121119221051
88-8-001161042712151614107310000
7.57-8-111513232420850
77-9-00010001361115171613952100
6-8-2100
6.56-9-10041016252413510
66-10-000001261218211913620
5-9-2100
5.55-10-1311272722111
55-11-000141021292511
4-10-2100
4.54-11-12183545
44-12-0003123650
3-11-2100
3.53-12-12872
33-13-011584
2.52-13-1100
22-14-0397
0-1.5100
Total:33333332433333333333333333333333