San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Beat Minnesota 28-21, playoff odds up 8.3 to 45.7%

1-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

16		15	-	0	-	0	In		100																23
15		14	-	1	-	0	In		99	1															105
14		13	-	2	-	0	In		98	2															758
13	.5	12	-	2	-	1	In		100																8
13		12	-	3	-	0	In		93	6	0		1												3,347
12	.5	11	-	3	-	1	In		86	12			2												42
12		11	-	4	-	0	In		73	21	2	0	4	0											10,063
11	.5	10	-	4	-	1	In		57	35	5		3												88
11		10	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	36	37	11	1	14	1	0										21,995
		9	-	4	-	2	In						100												1
10	.5	9	-	5	-	1	In		19	32	22	3	19	3											154
10		9	-	6	-	0	97.4		6	22	25	8	25	11	2	0	0								36,635
9	.5	8	-	6	-	1	87.3		0	6	25	17	19	20	12	0									259
9		8	-	7	-	0	66.2		0	2	11	16	13	24	21	10	3	1	0	0					46,961
8	.5	7	-	7	-	1	33.8				2	15	2	15	27	26	10	3							317
8		7	-	8	-	0	13.2			0	1	7	1	5	14	23	23	16	8	2	0	0			47,221
7	.5	6	-	8	-	1	3.0					3			3	9	20	29	20	13	3	1			235
7		6	-	9	-	0	1.0				0	1		0	0	2	8	17	24	24	15	6	1	0	36,551
6	.5	5	-	9	-	1	Out										1	4	12	27	29	19	8	1	184
6		5	-	10	-	0	0.0					0				0	0	1	4	13	25	31	20	5	21,819
5	.5	4	-	10	-	1	Out													2	11	34	38	14	91
5		4	-	11	-	0	Out											0	0	1	4	20	42	34	10,007
4	.5	3	-	11	-	1	Out															6	34	59	32
4		3	-	12	-	0	Out														0	3	24	73	3,368
3	.5	2	-	12	-	1	Out																	100	6
3		2	-	13	-	0	Out																6	94	756
2	.5	1	-	13	-	1	Out																	100	1
2		1	-	14	-	0	Out																2	98	102
1		0	-	15	-	0	Out																	100	23

Total:							45.7	%	9	8	7	6	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	241,152

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		15	-	0	-	0	100
15		14	-	1	-	0	99		1
14		13	-	2	-	0	97	1	2
13	.5	12	-	2	-	1	100
13		12	-	3	-	0	86	7	6	0	0				1
12	.5	11	-	3	-	1	79	7	12						2
12		11	-	4	-	0	52	21	20	1	2		0		4	0	0
11	.5	10	-	4	-	1	36	20	33	2	5				3
11		10	-	5	-	0	12	24	28	9	11	0	1		13	1	1		0
		9	-	4	-	2									100
10	.5	9	-	5	-	1	2	18	21	12	21	1	3		19	1	3
10		9	-	6	-	0	0	6	7	16	16	8	7	1	17	8	11	1	2	0	0
9	.5	8	-	6	-	1		0	0	5	8	17	15	2	7	12	19	2	12	0
9		8	-	7	-	0		0	0	2	2	9	10	6	3	10	12	11	15	11	6	2	0	0	0
8	.5	7	-	7	-	1						2	5	10		2	2	14	12	22	17	12	4	0
8		7	-	8	-	0				0	0	1	1	6		1	0	4	2	7	12	15	15	14	11	7	4	1	0	0	0
7	.5	6	-	8	-	1								3								1	9	16	25	20	14	8	5
7		6	-	9	-	0						0	0	1				0		0	0	0	1	3	6	11	14	16	16	14	10	6	2	1	0	0
6	.5	5	-	9	-	1																				1	1	4	10	22	22	18	12	8	2	1
6		5	-	10	-	0								0												0	0	1	2	6	12	17	21	19	13	7	2	0
5	.5	4	-	10	-	1																										1	8	23	32	25	11
5		4	-	11	-	0																								0	0	1	3	10	21	29	26	11
4	.5	3	-	11	-	1																														25	44	31
4		3	-	12	-	0																												0	2	12	36	50
3	.5	2	-	12	-	1																															33	67
3		2	-	13	-	0																														1	13	86
2	.5	1	-	13	-	1																																100
2		1	-	14	-	0																															4	96
1		0	-	15	-	0																																100

Total:							5	4	5	4	4	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1