San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 2015Beat Minnesota 28-21, playoff odds up 12.4 to 49.8% 1-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 | +7.4 | | +0.9 | | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | +0.3 | | +0.0 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | -0.3 | | | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Arizona vs New Orleans | -0.4*-2.6+0.5 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | +0.3*-3.6-0.4 | | +0.0*-0.4-0.0 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | -6.3*+3.1+9.1 | | -0.6*+0.3+0.9 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | +0.7*-4.0-1.1 | | +0.0*-0.2-0.1 | | Chicago vs Arizona | +0.8*+0.5-0.9 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Washington vs St. Louis | +0.3*-3.9-0.5 | | +0.0*-0.4-0.0 | | Carolina vs Houston | -0.2*+0.6+0.3 | | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 82 | | 15 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 476 | | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,005 | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 12,525 | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 84 | 14 | 2 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 124 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 70 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 36,328 | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 55 | 31 | 6 | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | 271 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 32 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 77,393 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 13 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 603 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 97.4 | | 5 | 21 | 26 | 10 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 122,466 | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 90.3 | | 0 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 835 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 65.9 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 150,338 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 36.9 | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 26 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 969 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 13.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 141,539 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 3.4 | | | | | 3 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 1 | | | 762 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 103,311 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | 2 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 1 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 31 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 497 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 57,645 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 12 | 36 | 31 | 17 | 235 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 32 | 24,635 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 27 | 57 | 77 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 71 | 7,512 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | 18 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 1,605 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 223 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 72 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 49.8 | % | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 743,584 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 | -1.8 | | New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 | -0.1 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | NY Jets vs Cleveland | +0.0+0.5-0.1 | | Atlanta vs Philadelphia | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Denver vs Baltimore | +0.1*+0.5-0.1 | | Dallas vs NY Giants | +0.0*-0.6-0.1 | | Oakland vs Cincinnati | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.0*+0.9+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | +1.5*-0.7-2.2 | | Washington vs St. Louis | +0.0+0.6-0.0 | | Carolina vs Houston | +0.0-0.5-0.0 | | Chicago vs Arizona | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | -0.1*+0.5+0.1 | | Cleveland vs Tennessee | -0.0*+0.4+0.1 | | Cincinnati vs San Diego | -0.0*+1.0+0.1 | | Oakland vs Baltimore | +0.0*-0.7-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 84 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 73 | 11 | 14 | | 2 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 49 | 22 | 23 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 30 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 6 | | | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 3 | 5 | | 16 | 2 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 3 | 5 | 11 | | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 3 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 1 | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 31 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 25 | 9 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 22 | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 47 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 22 | 72 | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 82 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
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