San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50Beat Detroit 35-14, playoff odds up 8 to 45.6% 1-0-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | +6.9 | | +0.8 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | +0.4 | | +0.0 | | Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 | | | +0.0 | | New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 | | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Oakland vs Cincinnati | -0.7*+0.3+0.7 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Denver vs Baltimore | -0.7*+2.6+0.7 | | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | | Houston vs Kansas City | +0.6*-2.9-0.6 | | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.5*-7.0+0.5 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | NY Jets vs Cleveland | | | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Cincinnati vs San Diego | -9.7*+4.4+9.7 | | -1.1+0.7+1.1 | | Oakland vs Baltimore | -0.9*-8.9+0.9 | | -0.1*-0.5+0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | -0.6*-1.6+0.6 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | -16 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 136 | * | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 753 | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 5 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,377 | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 2 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 75 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 9,929 | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 66 | 23 | 3 | | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 36 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 22,044 | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 21 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 170 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 97.8 | | 6 | 21 | 25 | 9 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 36,570 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 94.9 | | 2 | 7 | 24 | 15 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 275 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 66.1 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 47,209 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 35.3 | | | | 3 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 29 | 22 | 12 | 2 | | | | | | | 306 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 12.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 47,069 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 2.4 | | | | | 2 | | | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 1 | | | 250 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36,736 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | 1 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.6 | | | | | 1 | | | | | | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 28 | 5 | | 164 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 21,736 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 26 | 33 | 24 | 87 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 40 | 10,128 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 3 | 41 | 54 | 37 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 3,197 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 6 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 690 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 116 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 45.6 | % | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 241,152 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | San Diego 35 Detroit 14 | -2.0 | | New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 | -0.1 | | San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 | +0.1 | | Washington 33 Miami 10 | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Oakland vs Cincinnati | +0.1-0.4-0.1 | | Denver vs Baltimore | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | | NY Jets vs Cleveland | +0.1*+0.7-0.1 | | Jacksonville vs Carolina | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Cincinnati vs San Diego | +2.1-1.4-2.1 | | Green Bay vs Seattle | -0.1*+0.7+0.1 | | Oakland vs Baltimore | +0.1*+0.8-0.1 | | Chicago vs Arizona | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | | Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | -16 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 97 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 63 | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 86 | 8 | 5 | | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 74 | 22 | 2 | | | | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 51 | 24 | 19 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 35 | 31 | 20 | 3 | 3 | | | | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 2 | 2 | | 20 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | 3 | 3 | 11 | | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 24 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 5 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 4 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 53 | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 3 | | 2 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 87 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2 | | 1 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 1 | | 0 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
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