Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Beat New England 38-17, playoff odds up 9.2 to 46.7%
1-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 +8.8
+1.1
Washington 33 Miami 10 +0.2
+0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Cleveland+0.7*+1.5-0.7
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Cincinnati+0.6*-0.8-0.6
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Denver vs Baltimore+0.6*+1.4-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Carolina-0.4*-0.9+0.4
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Kansas City-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco+7.7*-0.7-7.7
+0.8*-0.0-0.8
Oakland vs Baltimore+0.7*+11.0-0.8
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Cleveland vs Tennessee-0.6*+1.6+0.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs San Diego-0.6*-3.3+0.6
-0.1*-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15-16In100145*
1413-2-0In991760
13.512-2-1In1008
1312-3-0In936013,303
12.511-3-1In91932
1211-4-0In7618204010,207
11.510-4-1In69245284
1110-5-0100.0%3935101151022,239
10.59-5-199.416411922021164
109-6-097.9723237271020036,389
9.58-6-191.92102212232371248
98-7-069.00312141525209200047,248
7-6-2In1001
8.57-7-135.941331529221020323
87-8-014.60171616242214720046,740
6-7-2In1001
7.56-8-13.12131224281785287
76-9-00.90101391925221451036,576
5-8-2Out3333333
6.55-9-10.6114162329188167
65-10-00.00001515273018421,994
5.54-10-1Out1832411874
54-11-0Out0152141319,878
4.53-11-1Out435730
43-12-0Out0427693,342
3.52-12-1Out25754
32-13-0Out01090764
1-2.5Out100141*
Total:46.7%10875987766655443241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 -2.1
San Francisco 28 Minnesota 21 -0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Buffalo vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.5-0.1
Arizona vs New Orleans-0.1*-1.3+0.1
Denver vs Baltimore-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Kansas City+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Oakland vs Cincinnati-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.0*+0.3-0.0
NY Jets vs Cleveland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-1.9-0.1+1.9
Buffalo vs New England+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore-0.1*-0.9+0.1
Cincinnati vs San Diego+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Chicago vs Arizona+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Indianapolis vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.9+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1514-1-0991
1413-2-09731
13.512-2-1100
1312-3-08686001
12.511-3-18199
1211-4-053231812040
11.510-4-1373220452
1110-5-012272691001014110
10.59-5-14121824172218121
109-6-007716158711710101200
9.58-6-121081410291518671
98-7-000321086312121315951000
7-6-2100
8.57-7-14493115920181062
87-8-00011610638131515139631000
6-7-2100
7.56-8-121004512242316831
76-9-000100001371216171512852100
5-8-2333333
6.55-9-1111572225191452
65-10-00001371318211812620
5.54-10-13722273093
54-11-000141122292410
4.53-11-133205023
43-12-0002143747
3.52-12-12575
32-13-0011682
2.51-13-1100
21-14-0199
10-15-0100
Total:55444332544443333333333322222221