Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Plays at Atlanta, playoff odds down 1.1 to 36.4%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington 33 Miami 10 -1.2
-0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 +0.4
+0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Atlanta vs Philadelphia-8.7*+1.0+8.7
-1.1*+0.0+1.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas+10.5*-5.4-10.5
+1.2*-0.9-1.2
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.8*-1.1+0.8
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Washington vs St. Louis-0.7*-3.1+0.7
-0.0*-0.6+0.0
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco+0.5*-4.4-0.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Houston-0.0-1.2+0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.0*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-16In10093*
1414-2-0In9820410
13.513-2-1In1008
1313-3-0In93602,089
12.512-3-1In886616
1212-4-0In742020406,692
11.511-4-1In67272448
1111-5-0100.0%3536121151016,068
10.510-5-1In2328122296149
1010-6-097.4620248261220029,377
9-5-2In1001
9.59-6-190.0082016232282221
99-7-065.002111512242110310041,629
8.58-7-134.002153142524134294
88-8-012.401714132123179310046,935
7-7-2Out4040205
7.57-8-13.231161927261241308
77-9-00.90100271624241672041,735
6.56-9-10.4003162329209240
66-10-00.0001412253122629,500
5-9-2Out50502
5.55-10-1Out410283919135
55-11-0Out00417413715,892
4.54-11-1Out2296959
44-12-0Out00223746,677
3.53-12-1Out59521
33-13-0Out07932,039
2.52-13-1Out1002
22-14-0Out199414
0-1.5Out10093*
Total:36.4%6665777666666666241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 33 Miami 10 +0.1
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 +0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 -0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Atlanta vs Philadelphia+2.1*-0.2-2.1
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.1-0.6-0.1
NY Jets vs Cleveland-0.1*-0.4+0.1
Buffalo vs Indianapolis-0.0*-0.5+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas-2.3*+1.9+2.3
Carolina vs Houston-0.0+2.3+0.0
Minnesota vs Detroit+0.1-0.5-0.1
Chicago vs Arizona+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle-0.0-0.2+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.1*+0.8-0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.1*+0.6-0.1
Indianapolis vs NY Jets+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.6+0.0
Washington vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.8+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-16100
1414-2-096220
13.513-2-18813
1313-3-084960
12.512-3-1751366
1212-4-0512320120400
11.511-4-1333325224
1111-5-0112426101111141100
10.510-5-1121171111122276
1010-6-005615169811610111200
9-5-2100
9.59-6-100881214281519391
99-7-000229962101113151262000
8.58-7-1025931131119201051
88-8-0001160104261115161411731000
7-7-220202040
7.57-8-13102514172420860
77-9-0001000126101416161410621000
6.56-9-1015101826181741
66-10-00001261117212014720
5-9-2100
5.55-10-14722273073
55-11-00013920292611
4.54-11-12274724
44-12-0002113651
3.53-12-12971
33-13-011683
2.52-13-1100
22-14-0298
0-1.5100
Total:33333332333333333333333333333333