Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2015

Plays at Atlanta, playoff odds down 2.6 to 34.9%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington 33 Miami 10 -1.0
-0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 -0.3
-0.0
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 +0.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Atlanta vs Philadelphia-7.6*-0.9+10.2
-0.9*-0.1+1.2
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.4*+2.2-0.5
+0.0*+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas+8.6*-3.4-11.5
+1.0*-0.5-1.3
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco+0.3-9.3-0.4
+0.0*-0.7-0.0
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.5*-1.4+0.6
Washington vs St. Louis-0.3*+1.4+0.5
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Carolina vs Houston-0.3*+4.9+0.4
-0.0+0.5+0.0
Chicago vs Arizona-0.0+0.4+0.0
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.0+0.3-0.0
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-16In100215*
1414-2-0In98201,338
13.513-2-1In10010
1313-3-0In918015,959
12.512-3-1In79144457
1212-4-0In6922206019,947
11-3-2In1001
11.511-4-1In53306111166
1111-5-0100.0%31351311810048,685
10-4-2In1001
10.510-5-199.815322032740456
1010-6-096.6417239291430090,417
9-5-2In1001
9.59-6-191.5051814282681756
99-7-060.301813132523124100130,646
8-6-2In1001
8.58-7-128.102841429271231906
88-8-010.0005141322241893100146,599
7-7-2Out67333
7.57-8-11.510291928251240940
77-9-00.6010002716242517720129,922
6-8-2Out2040405
6.56-9-1Out121127302171712
66-10-00.00001413253121689,752
5-9-2Out1001
5.55-10-1Out1413274313427
55-11-0Out01519413448,491
4-10-2Out1001
4.54-11-1Out93754209
44-12-0Out003257119,588
3-11-2Out1001
3.53-12-1Out307044
33-13-0Out07935,888
2.52-13-1Out10010
22-14-0Out2981,197
1-13-2Out1001
0-1.5Out100231*
Total:34.9%5555777777776666743,584

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 33 Miami 10 +0.1
New England 17 Pittsburgh 38 +0.1
San Diego 35 Detroit 14 +0.1
Tampa Bay 24 Tennessee 14 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Atlanta vs Philadelphia+1.8+0.1-2.4
Buffalo vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.6+0.1
NY Jets vs Cleveland-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Carolina+0.0*-0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas-1.9+1.1+2.5
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco-0.0+1.5+0.0
Carolina vs Houston-0.0-1.0+0.1
Washington vs St. Louis-0.0+0.7+0.0
Green Bay vs Seattle-0.0-0.7+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Indianapolis vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Minnesota vs Detroit+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Chicago vs Arizona+0.0*-0.5-0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Cincinnati vs San Diego+0.0*+0.4-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-16100
1414-2-096220
13.513-2-1100
1313-3-081108001
12.512-3-165141444
1212-4-0452421120600
11-3-2100
11.511-4-127272816111
1111-5-0922241012110172100
10-4-2100
10.510-5-12131616173324340
1010-6-0044131488117121313000
9-5-2100
9.59-6-10561111391921581
99-7-000117762101114161373100
8-6-2100
8.58-7-10226411311232212300
88-8-00001401042611151615127310000
7-7-2333333
7.57-8-110026152323177410
77-9-00010000012611151717149521000
6-8-22080
6.56-9-1013111624271251
66-10-000001261218211913620
5-9-2100
5.55-10-11141421292191
55-11-000141122292510
4-10-2100
4.54-11-127253828
44-12-0003133747
3-11-2100
3.53-12-14159
33-13-011584
2.52-13-1100
22-14-0496
1-13-2100
1.51-14-1100
11-15-0199
00-16-0100
Total:33333232444344444333333333333333