New England Patriots Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Lost to Pittsburgh 17-38, playoff odds down 7.7 to 29.8%

0-1-0 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

15		15	-	0	-	0	In		100																27
14		14	-	1	-	0	In		98	2															130
13	.5	13	-	1	-	1	In		100																1
13		13	-	2	-	0	In		93	6	0														759
12	.5	12	-	2	-	1	In		100																11
12		12	-	3	-	0	In		70	25	2	0	2												3,373
11	.5	11	-	3	-	1	In		67	19	7		7												27
11		11	-	4	-	0	100.0	%	33	42	15	2	8	1	0										10,030
10	.5	10	-	4	-	1	In		25	36	14	4	20												83
10		10	-	5	-	0	98.0		5	24	30	12	18	8	2	0	0								21,807
		9	-	4	-	2	In							100											1
9	.5	9	-	5	-	1	87.5		1	11	23	15	23	14	11	1									168
9		9	-	6	-	0	70.7		0	3	15	24	10	19	17	9	3	1	0	0					36,704
		8	-	5	-	2	In					50		50											2
8	.5	8	-	6	-	1	44.0				3	21	4	15	21	23	8	4	1						273
8		8	-	7	-	0	18.3			0	1	13	1	4	11	20	22	17	8	3	1	0	0		47,051
7	.5	7	-	7	-	1	3.5					4			3	8	22	32	21	9	2				311
7		7	-	8	-	0	2.3				0	2		0	0	2	7	15	24	25	16	7	2	0	47,150
		6	-	7	-	2	Out													100					1
6	.5	6	-	8	-	1	1.9					2				0	1	2	13	28	28	19	5	1	265
6		6	-	9	-	0	0.1					0					0	1	4	12	24	31	22	7	36,538
		5	-	8	-	2	Out															100			1
5	.5	5	-	9	-	1	Out													1	11	33	36	19	157
5		5	-	10	-	0	0.0					0							0	1	4	18	41	37	22,024
		4	-	9	-	2	Out																50	50	2
4	.5	4	-	10	-	1	Out															8	34	58	77
4		4	-	11	-	0	Out														0	2	23	75	9,892
3	.5	3	-	11	-	1	Out																6	94	32
3		3	-	12	-	0	Out															0	6	94	3,318
2	.5	2	-	12	-	1	Out																	100	8
2		2	-	13	-	0	Out																1	99	800
0	-1.5						Out																	100	129	*

Total:							29.8	%	3	5	6	8	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	9	241,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15		15	-	0	-	0	100
14		14	-	1	-	0	95	2	2
13	.5	13	-	1	-	1	100
13		13	-	2	-	0	85	9	6	0	0
12	.5	12	-	2	-	1	91	9
12		12	-	3	-	0	46	24	25	1	2		0		2
11	.5	11	-	3	-	1	33	33	15	4	7				7
11		11	-	4	-	0	9	24	29	13	14	1	2		7	1	1	0	0
10	.5	10	-	4	-	1	2	23	22	14	12	2	4		16	5
10		10	-	5	-	0	0	5	5	19	18	12	11	1	10	7	8	1	2	0	0
		9	-	4	-	2											100
9	.5	9	-	5	-	1		1		11	9	14	13	3	8	15	11	2	11	1
9		9	-	6	-	0		0	0	3	2	12	13	11	1	8	8	11	11	10	5	2	1	0	0
		8	-	5	-	2							50					50
8	.5	8	-	6	-	1						3	3	18		4	1	15	9	18	17	9	1	1	1
8		8	-	7	-	0				0		1	2	11	0	1	0	4	2	5	9	12	14	14	12	8	4	1	0	0	0
7	.5	7	-	7	-	1								4								1	6	13	22	23	22	7	4	0
7		7	-	8	-	0						0	0	2				0			0	0	1	2	5	9	12	15	17	15	12	7	3	1	0	0
		6	-	7	-	2																						100
6	.5	6	-	8	-	1								2												0	0	4	11	17	26	18	15	5		1
6		6	-	9	-	0								0											0	0	0	0	2	4	10	16	20	21	16	8	2	0
		5	-	8	-	2																										100
5	.5	5	-	9	-	1																										5	11	25	27	21	10	1
5		5	-	10	-	0								0																0	0	1	3	8	19	29	28	13
		4	-	9	-	2																														50	50
4	.5	4	-	10	-	1																												1	8	22	36	32
4		4	-	11	-	0																											0	0	2	10	35	53
3	.5	3	-	11	-	1																														3	19	78
3		3	-	12	-	0																													0	1	12	87
2	.5	2	-	12	-	1																															13	88
2		2	-	13	-	0																														0	3	97
0	-1.5																																					100

Total:							1	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	1	2	2	3	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5